Serie A Gameweek 6
Oct 11, 2026 2.00pm
Stadio Comunale Via del Mare

Lecce vs Bologna - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Lecce

All competitions
Last game
Sep 20, 2026 7.45pm
AC Milan 3 - 0 Lecce
Goals scored
5
Top scorer
Lassana Coulibaly

Bologna

All competitions
Last game
Sep 19, 2026 2.00pm
Bologna 1 - 1 Torino
Goals scored
3
Top scorer
Roberto Piccoli

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Bologna win with a probability of 38.92%. A win for Lecce has a probability of 32.45% and a draw has a probability of 28.63%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win is 0-1 with a probability of 10.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.45%) and 0-2 (7.02%). The likeliest Lecce win is 1-0 (10.02%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.99%).

Result

Lecce 32.45% ▲ (+0.14)
Draw 28.63% ▲ (+0.01)
Bologna 38.92% ▼ (-0.15)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.27% ▲ (+0.06)

Goals

Over 1.5 69.47% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 1.5 30.53% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 2.5 43.82% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 2.5 56.18% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 3.5 22.53% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 3.5 77.47%
Over 4.5 11.29% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 4.5 88.71% ▼ (-0.03)

First Half Winner

Lecce 27.43% ▼ (-0.04)
Draw 45.7% ▲ (+0.04)
Bologna 26.86% ▼ (-0.02)

Team To Score First

Lecce 46.08% ▲ (+0.09)
No Goal 9.67% ▲ (+0.01)
Bologna 44.25% ▼ (-0.11)

Corners

Over 8 49.64% ▼ (-0.15)
Equal 8 12.38% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 8 37.98% ▲ (+0.16)
Over 9 37.81% ▼ (-0.10)
Equal 9 11.83% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 9 50.36% ▲ (+0.15)
Over 10.5 27.46% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 10.5 72.54% ▲ (+0.07)

Lecce Goals

Over 1.5 30.3% ▲ (+0.13)
Under 1.5 69.7% ▼ (-0.13)
Over 2.5 10.21% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 2.5 89.79% ▼ (-0.07)
Over 3.5 2.67% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 3.5 97.33% ▼ (-0.04)

Bologna Goals

Over 0.5 69.82% ▼ (-0.11)
Under 0.5 30.18% ▲ (+0.11)
Over 1.5 35.86% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 1.5 64.14% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 2.5 13.44% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 2.5 86.56% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 3.5 4.2% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 3.5 95.8% ▲ (+0.04)

Score analysis

Lecce 32.45%
Draw 28.63%
Bologna 38.92%
Lecce
1-0 @ 10.02% ▲ (+0.02)
2-1 @ 7.41%
2-0 @ 5.64% ▲ (+0.05)
3-1 @ 2.72% ▲ (+0.03)
3-0 @ 2.24% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 1.81% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 2.61% ▲ (+0.03)
Total : 32.45%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.99%
0-0 @ 9.67% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.14% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.06%
Total : 28.63%
Bologna
0-1 @ 10.84% ▼ (-0.06)
1-2 @ 8.45% ▼ (-0.03)
0-2 @ 7.02% ▼ (-0.03)
1-3 @ 3.38%
0-3 @ 3.19% ▼ (-0.04)
2-3 @ 1.9% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 4.14% ▼ (-0.04)
Total : 38.92%

Head to Head

Serie A Gameweek 32
Apr 12, 2026 5.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stadio Renato Dall'Ara
  • Remo Freuler 26' goal
  • Nadir Zortea 66' yellowcard
  • Jonathan Rowe 74' yellowcard
  • Tommaso Pobega 74' yellowcard
  • Federico Bernardeschi 85' yellowcard
  • Jens Odgaard 85' yellowcard
  • Riccardo Orsolini 90'+2' goal
  • yellowcard Antonino Gallo 45'
  • yellowcard Antonino Gallo 46'
  • yellowcard Omri Gandelman 46'
  • yellowcard Walid Cheddira 64'
  • yellowcard Konan N’Dri 64'
  • yellowcard Álex Sala 83'
Serie A European Under-21s Championship
Sep 28, 2025 5.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Serie A Gameweek 24
Feb 9, 2025 5.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio Comunale Via del Mare
  • yellowcard Remo Freuler 61'
  • yellowcard Remo Freuler 61'
  • yellowcard Remo Freuler 61'
  • yellowcard Tommaso Pobega 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Tommaso Pobega 90'+3'
  • yellowcard T 90'+4'
Serie A Gameweek 11
Nov 2, 2024 2.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio Renato Dall'Ara
  • Kacper Urbanski 66' yellowcard
  • Dan Ndoye 72' yellowcard
  • Riccardo Orsolini 85' goal
  • yellowcard Andy Pelmard 71'
  • yellowcard Kialonda Gaspar 86'
Serie A Gameweek 24
Feb 11, 2024 2.00pm
4
0
HT : 2 0
FT Stadio Renato Dall'Ara
  • Sam Beukema 5' goal
  • Riccardo Orsolini 27' goal
  • Riccardo Calafiori 34' yellowcard
  • Riccardo Orsolini 49' goal
  • Jens Odgaard 82' goal
  • yellowcard Roberto D'Aversa 35'
  • yellowcard Pontus Almqvist 41'
  • yellowcard Remi Oudin 74'
Serie A Gameweek 14
Dec 3, 2023 11.30am
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio Comunale Via del Mare
  • Ylber Ramadani 45' yellowcard
  • Marin Pongracic 84' yellowcard
  • Nicola Sansone 89' yellowcard
  • Roberto Piccoli 90'+10' goal
  • yellowcard Alexis Saelemaekers 50'
  • goal Charalampos Lykogiannis 68'
  • yellowcard Riccardo Calafiori 90'+8'