Serie A Gameweek 10
Nov 1, 2026 5.00pm
Stadio Comunale Via del Mare

Lecce vs Genoa - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Lecce

All competitions
Last game
Oct 25, 2026 5.00pm
Lecce 0 - 2 Juventus
Goals scored
9
Top scorer
Tiago Gabriel

Genoa

All competitions
Last game
Oct 25, 2026 2.00pm
Genoa 1 - 0 Venezia
Goals scored
6
Top scorer
Milutin Osmajic

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Lecce win with a probability of 40%. A win for Genoa has a probability of 33.7% and a draw has a probability of 26.23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lecce win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (7.95%) and 2-0 (6.66%). The likeliest Genoa win is 0-1 (9.47%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.71%).

Result

Lecce 40% ▼ (-1.10)
Draw 26.23% ▼ (-1.51)
Genoa 33.7% ▲ (+2.55)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.37% ▲ (+0.93)

Goals

Over 1.5 71.4% ▲ (+1.10)
Under 1.5 28.6% ▼ (-1.09)
Over 2.5 47.53% ▲ (+1.83)
Under 2.5 52.47% ▼ (-1.83)
Over 3.5 27.14% ▲ (+2.13)
Under 3.5 72.86% ▼ (-2.13)
Over 4.5 15.02% ▲ (+1.74)
Under 4.5 84.98% ▼ (-1.73)

First Half Winner

Lecce 28.6% ▼ (-1.94)
Draw 48.57% ▲ (+0.75)
Genoa 22.83% ▲ (+1.20)

Team To Score First

Lecce 49.96% ▼ (-0.41)
No Goal 8.68% ▼ (-0.72)
Genoa 41.36% ▲ (+1.12)

Corners

Over 8 55.42% ▲ (+0.67)
Equal 8 11.8% ▼ (-0.30)
Under 8 32.78% ▼ (-0.36)
Over 9 43.61% ▲ (+0.90)
Equal 9 11.81% ▼ (-0.25)
Under 9 44.58% ▼ (-0.67)
Over 10.5 32.78% ▲ (+1.06)
Under 10.5 67.22% ▼ (-1.05)

Lecce Goals

Over 1.5 37.72% ▼ (-0.29)
Under 1.5 62.28% ▲ (+0.29)
Over 2.5 15.81% ▲ (+0.42)
Under 2.5 84.19% ▼ (-0.43)
Over 3.5 5.56% ▲ (+0.30)
Under 3.5 94.44% ▼ (-0.30)

Genoa Goals

Over 0.5 65.72% ▲ (+1.71)
Under 0.5 34.28% ▼ (-1.70)
Over 1.5 32.69% ▲ (+2.35)
Under 1.5 67.31% ▼ (-2.35)
Over 2.5 12.23% ▲ (+1.73)
Under 2.5 87.77% ▼ (-1.72)
Over 3.5 3.79% ▲ (+0.77)
Under 3.5 96.21% ▼ (-0.77)

Score analysis

Lecce 40%
Draw 26.25%
Genoa 33.71%
Lecce
1-0 @ 10.41% ▼ (-0.67)
2-1 @ 7.95% ▼ (-0.46)
2-0 @ 6.66% ▼ (-0.50)
3-1 @ 3.9% ▲ (+0.13)
3-0 @ 2.94% ▼ (-0.25)
3-2 @ 2.59% ▲ (+0.25)
Other @ 5.55% ▲ (+0.36)
Total : 40%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.71% ▼ (-0.57)
0-0 @ 8.68% ▼ (-0.72)
2-2 @ 5.03% ▼ (-0.13)
Other @ 0.01% ▼ (-0.08)
Total : 26.25%
Genoa
0-1 @ 9.47% ▲ (+0.25)
1-2 @ 7.36% ▲ (+0.21)
0-2 @ 5.48% ▲ (+0.31)
1-3 @ 3.21% ▲ (+0.42)
2-3 @ 2.27% ▲ (+0.38)
0-3 @ 2.14% ▲ (+0.20)
Other @ 3.78% ▲ (+0.83)
Total : 33.71%

Head to Head

Serie A Gameweek 38
May 24, 2026 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stadio Comunale Via del Mare
  • Lameck Banda 6' goal
  • Omri Gandelman 46' yellowcard
  • Konan N’Dri 65' yellowcard
  • Nikola Stulic 80' yellowcard
  • Gaby Jean 80' yellowcard
  • Gaspar 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Brooke Norton-Cuffy 60'
  • yellowcard Latif Ouedraogo 60'
  • yellowcard Jacopo Grossi 69'
  • yellowcard Jacopo Grossi 77'
  • yellowcard F. Carbone 83'
  • yellowcard Gaël Lafont 83'
Serie A European Under-21s Championship
Aug 23, 2025 5.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Serie A Gameweek 29
Mar 14, 2025 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris
  • Fabio Miretti 16' goal
  • Aaron Caricol 29' yellowcard
  • Fabio Miretti 34' yellowcard
  • Fabio Miretti 45'+2' goal
  • Johan Vasquez 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Medon Berisha 49'
  • goal Nikola Krstovic 68'
  • yellowcard Nikola Krstovic 68'
Serie A Gameweek 19
Jan 5, 2025 2.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio Comunale Via del Mare
  • yellowcard Lior Kasa 90'+1'
Serie A Gameweek 22
Jan 28, 2024 11.30am
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris
  • Mateo Retegui 70' goal
  • Alberto Gilardino 71' yellowcard
  • Caleb Ekuban 76' goal
  • goal Nikola Krstovic 31'
  • yellowcard Nikola Krstovic 57'
  • yellowcard Ylber Ramadani 90'+5'
Serie A Gameweek 5
Sep 22, 2023 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio Comunale Via del Mare
  • Pontus Almqvist 58' yellowcard
  • Remi Oudin 83' goal
  • yellowcard Koni De Winter 7'
  • yellowcard Aaron Caricol 9'
  • redcard Aaron Caricol 36'