Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 69.33%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Genoa had a probability of 10.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.26%) and 3-0 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.17%), while for a Genoa win it was 0-1 (4.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.