Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 38

May 24, 2025 at 5pm UK

Stadio Renato Dall'Ara

Bologna
1 - 3
Genoa

Orsolini (64')
Aebischer (38'), Lykogiannis (52'), Orsolini (79'), Calabria (87'), Lucumi (89')

FT(HT: 0-3)

Vitinha (17'), Venturino (26', 43')
Otoa (49'), Onana (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Bologna and Genoa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bologna

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Fiorentina 3-2 Bologna
Sunday, May 18 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Genoa

All competitions

Last Game: Genoa 2-3 Atalanta
Saturday, May 17 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 69.33%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Genoa had a probability of 10.94%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.26%) and 3-0 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.17%), while for a Genoa win it was 0-1 (4.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.

Result
Bologna	Draw	Genoa
69.33% ( -1.19)	19.72% ( 0.65)	10.94% ( 0.53)

Both teams to score 40.86% (

-0.13)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.01% (

-1.25)

50.99% (

1.24)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.14% (

-1.11)

72.85% (

1.1)

Bologna Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.37% (

-0.73)

13.62% (

0.73)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.22% (

-1.47)

40.77% (

1.47)

Genoa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

47.3% (

0.24)

52.69% (

-0.25)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

13.54% (

0.15)

86.45% (

-0.16)

Score Analysis

Bologna 69.32%

Genoa 10.94%

Draw 19.72%

Bologna	Draw	Genoa
1-0 @ 14.3% ( 0.32) 2-0 @ 14.26% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 9.48% ( -0.3) 2-1 @ 9.14% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 6.07% ( -0.15) 4-0 @ 4.72% ( -0.29) 4-1 @ 3.03% ( -0.16) 3-2 @ 1.95% ( -0.03) 5-0 @ 1.88% ( -0.17) 5-1 @ 1.21% ( -0.1) 4-2 @ 0.97% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.32% Total : 69.32%	1-1 @ 9.17% ( 0.27) 0-0 @ 7.18% ( 0.35) 2-2 @ 2.93% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.45% Total : 19.72%	0-1 @ 4.6% ( 0.26) 1-2 @ 2.94% ( 0.11) 0-2 @ 1.47% ( 0.09) Other @ 1.93% Total : 10.94%