Nations League Gameweek 5
Nov 13, 2026 7.45pm
1
3
HT : 0 2
FT Stadion Rajko Mitić
  • Srdjan Babic 56' goal
  • Srdjan Babic 62' yellowcard
  • Vanja Dragojevic 76' redcard
  • Petar Sukacev 87' yellowcard
  • Andrija Zivkovic 89' redcard
  • goal Srdjan Babic 3' (OG)
  • goal Florian Wirtz 14'
  • yellowcard Brajan Gruda 41'
  • goal Brajan Gruda 50'

Serbia vs Germany - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview
Predicted Lineups

Form, Standings, Stats

Serbia

All competitions
Nations League
Last game
Sep 24, 2026 7.45pm
Serbia 1 - 2 Greece

Germany

All competitions
Nations League
Last game
Sep 24, 2026 7.45pm
Netherlands 1 - 1 Germany

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Germany win with a probability of 50.14%. A win for Serbia had a probability of 26.91% and a draw had a probability of 22.98%.

The most likely scoreline for a Germany win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.22%) and 0-2 (8.28%). The likeliest Serbia win was 1-0 (6.64%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.

Result

Serbia 26.91% ▼ (-0.04)
Draw 22.98% ▼ (-0.04)
Germany 50.14% ▲ (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.06% ▲ (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 78.46% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 1.5 21.54% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 2.5 55.56% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 2.5 44.44% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 3.5 33.23% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 3.5 66.77% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 4.5 20% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 4.5 80% ▼ (-0.04)

First Half Winner

Serbia 22.52%
Draw 35.63%
Germany 41.85%

Team To Score First

Serbia 33.49% ▲ (+0.02)
No Goal 5.7% ▼ (-0.02)
Germany 60.81% ▲ (+0.02)

Corners

Over 8 57.29%
Equal 8 11.17%
Under 8 31.53%
Over 9 45.95%
Equal 9 11.34%
Under 9 42.71%
Over 10.5 35.36%
Under 10.5 64.64%

Serbia Goals

Over 1.5 30.35% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 1.5 69.65% ▲ (+0.03)
Over 2.5 11.18%
Under 2.5 88.82%
Over 3.5 3.26%
Under 3.5 96.74%

Germany Goals

Over 0.5 78.82% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 0.5 21.18% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 1.5 49.8% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 1.5 50.2% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 2.5 24.38% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 2.5 75.62% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 3.5 9.87% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 3.5 90.13% ▼ (-0.03)

Score analysis

Serbia 26.9%
Draw 22.99%
Germany 50.13%
Serbia
1-0 @ 6.64% ▼ (-0.03)
2-1 @ 6.46% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 3.95% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 2.67%
3-2 @ 2.27% ▲ (+0.02)
3-0 @ 1.75% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 26.9%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.67% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 5.7% ▼ (-0.02)
2-2 @ 5.29%
3-3 @ 1.23%
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 22.99%
Germany
1-2 @ 9.58%
0-1 @ 9.22% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 8.28%
1-3 @ 5.28% ▲ (+0.02)
0-3 @ 4.53% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 3.47%
Other @ 9.77% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 50.13%

Head to Head

Nations League Gameweek 3
Oct 1, 2026 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Allianz Arena
  • Tom Bischof 39' goal
  • Florian Wirtz 61' goal
  • yellowcard Nemanja Gudelj 73'
  • yellowcard Nemanja Maksimovic 79'
  • yellowcard Veljko Paunović 79'
International Friendlies
Mar 20, 2019 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT VOLKSWAGEN ARENA (Wolfsburg)
  • Leon Goretzka 69' goal
  • goal Luka Jovic 12'
  • redcard Milan Pavkov 94'
World Cup
Jun 18, 2010 12.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Nelson Mandela Bay Stadium
  • goal Milan Jovanovic 38'