Nations League Gameweek 4
Oct 4, 2026 7.45pm
Stadio Toumbas

Greece vs Germany - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Greece

All competitions
Nations League
Last game
Sep 24, 2026 7.45pm
Serbia 1 - 2 Greece

Germany

All competitions
Nations League
Last game
Sep 24, 2026 7.45pm
Netherlands 1 - 1 Germany

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Germany win with a probability of 45.84%. A win for Greece has a probability of 30.76% and a draw has a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Germany win is 1-2 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (8.39%) and 0-2 (6.75%). The likeliest Greece win is 2-1 (7.14%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.86%).

Result

Greece 30.76% ▲ (+1.05)
Draw 23.4% ▲ (+0.20)
Germany 45.84% ▼ (-1.23)

Both Teams to Score: 

59.3% ▲ (+2.22)

Goals

Over 1.5 79.77% ▲ (+1.00)
Under 1.5 20.23% ▼ (-1.00)
Over 2.5 57.92% ▲ (+1.24)
Under 2.5 42.08% ▼ (-1.24)
Over 3.5 35.41% ▲ (+1.66)
Under 3.5 64.59% ▼ (-1.66)
Over 4.5 21.11% ▲ (+0.83)
Under 4.5 78.89% ▼ (-0.82)

First Half Winner

Greece 27.54% ▲ (+0.58)
Draw 38.52% ▲ (+0.45)
Germany 33.95% ▼ (-1.01)

Team To Score First

Greece 42.12% ▼ (-1.08)
No Goal 5.13% ▼ (-0.30)
Germany 52.75% ▲ (+1.37)

Corners

Over 8 53.12% ▲ (+5.44)
Equal 8 11.4% ▼ (-0.24)
Under 8 35.48% ▼ (-5.22)
Over 9 41.91% ▲ (+5.19)
Equal 9 11.21% ▲ (+0.25)
Under 9 46.88% ▼ (-5.44)
Over 10.5 31.74% ▲ (+4.56)
Under 10.5 68.26% ▼ (-4.56)

Greece Goals

Over 1.5 34.87% ▲ (+1.48)
Under 1.5 65.13% ▼ (-1.49)
Over 2.5 14.43% ▲ (+1.00)
Under 2.5 85.57% ▼ (-1.00)
Over 3.5 4.74% ▲ (+0.48)
Under 3.5 95.26% ▼ (-0.47)

Germany Goals

Over 0.5 77.27% ▼ (-0.42)
Under 0.5 22.73% ▲ (+0.42)
Over 1.5 47.49% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 1.5 52.51% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 2.5 23% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 2.5 77% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 3.5 9%
Under 3.5 91%

Score analysis

Greece 30.76%
Draw 23.4%
Germany 45.83%
Greece
2-1 @ 7.14% ▼ (-0.07)
1-0 @ 6.7% ▲ (+0.08)
2-0 @ 4.24% ▲ (+0.15)
3-1 @ 3.39% ▲ (+0.27)
3-2 @ 2.64% ▲ (+0.14)
3-0 @ 2.12% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 4.53% ▲ (+0.50)
Total : 30.76%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.86% ▲ (+0.09)
2-2 @ 5.66% ▲ (+0.33)
0-0 @ 5.13% ▼ (-0.30)
3-3 @ 1.54% ▲ (+0.12)
Other @ 0.21% ▼ (-0.03)
Total : 23.4%
Germany
1-2 @ 9.44% ▲ (+0.05)
0-1 @ 8.39% ▼ (-0.77)
0-2 @ 6.75% ▼ (-0.46)
1-3 @ 5.25% ▲ (+0.25)
0-3 @ 3.81% ▼ (-0.44)
2-3 @ 3.4% ▲ (+0.09)
Other @ 8.79% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 45.83%

Head to Head

Nations League Gameweek 2
Sep 27, 2026 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT WWK Arena
  • Yann Bisseck 17' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Georgios Vagiannidis 18'
  • yellowcard Konstantinos Karetsas 22'
  • yellowcard Panagiotis Retsos 57'
  • yellowcard Dimitrios Kourbelis 68'
  • goal Dimitrios Kourbelis 74'
International Friendlies
Jun 7, 2024 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Stadion im BORUSSIA-PARK
  • Kai Havertz 56' goal
  • Pascal Gross 89' goal
  • goal Giorgos Masouras 33'
  • yellowcard Dimitris Giannoulis 80'