Nations League Gameweek 3
Oct 1, 2026 7.45pm
2
2
HT : 2 0
FT Stadio Toumbas
  • Fotis Ioannidis 23' goal
  • Georgios Masouras 45'+2' goal
  • Konstantinos Tzolakis 67' yellowcard
  • Manolis Saliakas 76' yellowcard
  • goal Virgil van Dijk  59'
  • yellowcard Noa Lang 76'
  • goal Tijjani Reijnders 89'

Greece vs Netherlands - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Greece

All competitions
Nations League
Last game
Sep 24, 2026 7.45pm
Serbia 1 - 2 Greece

Netherlands

All competitions
Nations League
Last game
Sep 24, 2026 7.45pm
Netherlands 1 - 1 Germany

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Netherlands win with a probability of 55.09%. A win for Greece has a probability of 24.47% and a draw has a probability of 20.44%.

The most likely scoreline for a Netherlands win is 1-2 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (8.48%) and 0-2 (7.77%). The likeliest Greece win is 2-1 (6.34%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.19%).

Result

Greece 24.47%
Draw 20.44%
Netherlands 55.09%

Both Teams to Score: 

57.65%

Goals

Over 1.5 82.15%
Under 1.5 17.85%
Over 2.5 62.29%
Under 2.5 37.71%
Over 3.5 39.29%
Under 3.5 60.71%
Over 4.5 25.15%
Under 4.5 74.85%

First Half Winner

Greece 20.56%
Draw 35.46%
Netherlands 43.97%

Team To Score First

Greece 36.86%
No Goal 4.29%
Netherlands 58.85%

Corners

Over 8 40.65%
Equal 8 11.7%
Under 8 47.66%
Over 9 30.25%
Equal 9 10.4%
Under 9 59.35%
Over 10.5 21.7%
Under 10.5 78.3%

Greece Goals

Over 1.5 30.49%
Under 1.5 69.51%
Over 2.5 11.79%
Under 2.5 88.21%
Over 3.5 3.78%
Under 3.5 96.22%

Netherlands Goals

Over 0.5 82.5%
Under 0.5 17.5%
Over 1.5 55.96%
Under 1.5 44.04%
Over 2.5 31.04%
Under 2.5 68.96%
Over 3.5 13.61%
Under 3.5 86.39%

Score analysis

Greece 24.47%
Draw 20.43%
Netherlands 55.09%
Greece
2-1 @ 6.34%
1-0 @ 5.07%
2-0 @ 2.91%
3-1 @ 2.53%
3-2 @ 2.4%
3-0 @ 1.65%
Other @ 3.57%
Total : 24.47%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.19%
2-2 @ 5.31%
0-0 @ 4.29%
3-3 @ 1.43%
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 20.43%
Netherlands
1-2 @ 9.44%
0-1 @ 8.48%
0-2 @ 7.77%
1-3 @ 6.29%
0-3 @ 5.57%
2-3 @ 4.14%
Other @ 13.4%
Total : 55.09%

Head to Head

Euro Champ Qualifying
Oct 16, 2023 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT OPAP Arena
  • Dimitrios Kourbelis 14' yellowcard
  • Petros Mantalos 29' yellowcard
  • Panagiotis Retsos 76' yellowcard
  • Vangelis Pavlidis 86' yellowcard
  • Gus Poyet 90'+4' redcard
  • yellowcard Lutsharel Geertruida 13'
  • yellowcard Xavi Simons 51'
  • goal Virgil van Dijk 90'+3'
Euro Champ Qualifying
Sep 7, 2023 7.45pm
3
0
HT : 3 0
FT Philips Stadion
  • Marten de Roon 17' goal
  • Cody Gakpo 31' goal
  • Wout Weghorst 39' goal
  • Nathan Ake 43' yellowcard
  • Virgil van Dijk 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Emmanouil Siopis 11'
  • yellowcard Kostas Tsimikas 44'
  • yellowcard Dimitrios Kourbelis 68'
  • yellowcard Petros Mantalos 75'
International Friendlies
May 28, 2020 6.30pm
International Friendlies
Sep 1, 2016 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Georginio Wijnaldum 14' goal
  • Steven Berghuis 75' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Konstantinos Manolas 10'
  • goal Konstantinos Mitroglou 29'
  • goal Giannis Gianniotas 74'