Segunda Division Gameweek 5
Sep 11, 2026 7.30pm
3
1
HT : 1 1
FT Estadio Municipal de El Plantío
  • Alberto Dadie 20' goal
  • Jon Karrikaburu 48' goal
  • José Gragera 62' yellowcard
  • Carlos Redru 81' goal
  • David González 86' yellowcard
  • Alberto Dadie 90' yellowcard
  • goal Carlos Hernández 14'
  • yellowcard Gabriel Okoro 27'
  • yellowcard Kuki Zalazar 66'

Burgos vs Ceuta - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Burgos

All competitions
Segunda Division
Last game
Sep 6, 2026 3.15pm
Real Oviedo 0 - 0 Burgos
Goals scored
8
Top scorer
Álex Forés

Ceuta

All competitions
Segunda Division
Last game
Sep 5, 2026 5.30pm
Ceuta 0 - 2 Celta de Vigo II
Goals scored
2
Top scorer
Jordi Escobar

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burgos win with a probability of 57.15%. A draw had a probability of 25.62% and a win for Ceuta had a probability of 17.23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burgos win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.63%) and 2-1 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.1%) , while for a Ceuta win it was 0-1 (6.47%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.

Result

Burgos 57.15%
Draw 25.62%
Ceuta 17.23%

Both Teams to Score: 

43.48%

Goals

Over 1.5 68.42% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 1.5 31.58% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 2.5 43.26%
Under 2.5 56.74%
Over 3.5 21.9% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 3.5 78.1% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 4.5 12.15%
Under 4.5 87.85%

First Half Winner

Burgos 38.91%
Draw 43.65%
Ceuta 17.44%

Team To Score First

Burgos 59.72% ▲ (+0.01)
No Goal 10.19%
Ceuta 30.09% ▼ (-0.02)

Corners

Over 8 49.21% ▲ (+0.29)
Equal 8 12.63% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 8 38.16% ▼ (-0.25)
Over 9 37.17% ▲ (+0.31)
Equal 9 12.04% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 9 50.79% ▼ (-0.29)
Over 10.5 26.68% ▲ (+0.29)
Under 10.5 73.32% ▼ (-0.30)

Burgos Goals

Over 1.5 47.5% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 1.5 52.5% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 2.5 21.58%
Under 2.5 78.42%
Over 3.5 7.81%
Under 3.5 92.19%

Ceuta Goals

Over 0.5 49.05%
Under 0.5 50.95%
Over 1.5 17.15%
Under 1.5 82.85%
Over 2.5 4.3%
Under 2.5 95.7%
Over 3.5 0.9%
Under 3.5 99.1%

Score analysis

Burgos 57.14%
Draw 25.63%
Ceuta 17.24%
Burgos
1-0 @ 14.93%
2-0 @ 11.63%
2-1 @ 9.51% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 6.43%
3-1 @ 4.82%
3-2 @ 2.04%
Other @ 7.78%
Total : 57.14%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.1%
0-0 @ 10.19%
2-2 @ 3.83%
Other @ 0.03%
Total : 25.63%
Ceuta
0-1 @ 6.47% ▲ (+0.01)
1-2 @ 4.56%
0-2 @ 2.42%
1-3 @ 1.1%
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 17.24%

Head to Head

Segunda Division Gameweek 33
Apr 1, 2026 7.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Estadio Municipal de El Plantío
  • Mario González 31' goal
  • Pablo Galdames 46' yellowcard
  • David González 63' yellowcard
  • Kévin Appin 71' yellowcard
  • Curro Sánchez 71' yellowcard
  • Florian Miguel 81' yellowcard
  • goal Aboubacar Bassinga 22'
  • yellowcard Aisar Ahmed 46'
  • yellowcard Kuki Zalazar 46'
  • yellowcard Konrad de la Fuente 81'
  • yellowcard Yann Bodiger 81'
  • yellowcard José Campaña 88'
Segunda Division
Nov 29, 2025 1.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Carlos Hernandez 8' yellowcard
  • Jose Matos 20' goal
  • Anuar 47' yellowcard
  • Samuel Obeng 85' yellowcard
  • Jose Matos 86' yellowcard
  • 90' yellowcard
  • Redru 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Grego 49'
  • yellowcard Miguel Atienza 64'
  • yellowcard Florian Miguel 71'