Segunda Division Gameweek 5
Sep 11, 2026 7.30pm
Estadio Municipal de El Plantío

Burgos vs Ceuta - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Burgos

All competitions
Segunda Division
Last game
Sep 6, 2026 3.15pm
Real Oviedo 0 - 0 Burgos
Goals scored
5
Top scorer
Álex Forés

Ceuta

All competitions
Segunda Division
Last game
Sep 5, 2026 5.30pm
Ceuta 0 - 2 Celta de Vigo II
Goals scored
1
Top scorer
Jordi Escobar

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Burgos win with a probability of 57.15%. A draw has a probability of 25.62% and a win for Ceuta has a probability of 17.23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burgos win is 1-0 with a probability of 14.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (11.63%) and 2-1 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.1%) , while for a Ceuta win it is 0-1 (6.46%).

Result

Burgos 57.15% (-0.18)
Draw 25.62% (+0.18)
Ceuta 17.23% (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

43.48% (-0.23)

Goals

Over 1.5 68.43% (-0.34)
Under 1.5 31.57% (+0.34)
Over 2.5 43.26% (-0.42)
Under 2.5 56.74% (+0.42)
Over 3.5 21.89% (-0.18)
Under 3.5 78.11% (+0.18)
Over 4.5 12.15% (-0.11)
Under 4.5 87.85% (+0.11)

First Half Winner

Burgos 38.91% (-0.19)
Draw 43.65% (+0.08)
Ceuta 17.44% (+0.11)

Team To Score First

Burgos 59.71% (-0.15)
No Goal 10.19% (+0.20)
Ceuta 30.1% (-0.06)

Corners

Over 8 48.92% (+0.25)
Equal 8 12.67% (+0.04)
Under 8 38.41% (-0.29)
Over 9 36.87% (+0.19)
Equal 9 12.05% (+0.07)
Under 9 51.08% (-0.25)
Over 10.5 26.39% (+0.11)
Under 10.5 73.61% (-0.11)

Burgos Goals

Over 1.5 47.51% (-0.34)
Under 1.5 52.49% (+0.34)
Over 2.5 21.58% (-0.30)
Under 2.5 78.42% (+0.30)
Over 3.5 7.81% (-0.16)
Under 3.5 92.19% (+0.15)

Ceuta Goals

Over 0.5 49.05% (-0.04)
Under 0.5 50.95% (+0.04)
Over 1.5 17.15% (-0.05)
Under 1.5 82.85% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 4.3% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 95.7% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 0.9% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 99.1% (-0.03)

Score analysis

Burgos 57.15%
Draw 25.63%
Ceuta 17.23%
Burgos
1-0 @ 14.93% (+0.13)
2-0 @ 11.63% (+0.03)
2-1 @ 9.52% (-0.06)
3-0 @ 6.43% (-0.12)
3-1 @ 4.82% (-0.03)
3-2 @ 2.04% (+0.02)
Other @ 7.78% (-0.15)
Total : 57.15%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.1% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 10.19% (+0.20)
2-2 @ 3.83% (-0.03)
Other @ 0.03%
Total : 25.63%
Ceuta
0-1 @ 6.46% (+0.08)
1-2 @ 4.56% (-0.05)
0-2 @ 2.42% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 1.1% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.87% (+0.03)
Total : 17.23%

Head to Head

Segunda Division Gameweek 33
Apr 1, 2026 7.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Estadio Municipal de El Plantío
  • Mario González 31' goal
  • Pablo Galdames 46' yellowcard
  • David González 63' yellowcard
  • Kévin Appin 71' yellowcard
  • Curro Sánchez 71' yellowcard
  • Florian Miguel 81' yellowcard
  • goal Aboubacar Bassinga 22'
  • yellowcard Aisar Ahmed 46'
  • yellowcard Kuki Zalazar 46'
  • yellowcard Konrad de la Fuente 81'
  • yellowcard Yann Bodiger 81'
  • yellowcard José Campaña 88'
Segunda Division
Nov 29, 2025 1.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Carlos Hernandez 8' yellowcard
  • Jose Matos 20' goal
  • Anuar 47' yellowcard
  • Samuel Obeng 85' yellowcard
  • Jose Matos 86' yellowcard
  • 90' yellowcard
  • Redru 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Grego 49'
  • yellowcard Miguel Atienza 64'
  • yellowcard Florian Miguel 71'