Segunda Division Gameweek 4
Sep 5, 2026 5.30pm
Estadio Municipal Alfonso Murube

Ceuta vs Celta de Vigo II - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Ceuta

All competitions
Segunda Division
Last game
Aug 30, 2026 6.00pm
Mallorca 3 - 0 Ceuta
Goals scored
1
Top scorer
Jordi Escobar

Celta de Vigo II

All competitions
Segunda Division
Last game
Aug 31, 2026 8.30pm
Celta de Vigo II 1 - 2 Castellon
Goals scored
5
Top scorer
Álvaro Marín

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Ceuta win with a probability of 39.35%. A win for Celta de Vigo II has a probability of 34.61% and a draw has a probability of 26.08%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ceuta win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.63%) and 2-0 (6.46%). The likeliest Celta de Vigo II win is 0-1 (9.31%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.97%).

Result

Ceuta 39.35% (-0.05)
Draw 26.08% (-0.16)
Celta de Vigo II 34.61% (+0.25)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.68% (-0.14)

Goals

Over 1.5 72.75% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 27.25% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 48.6% (+0.20)
Under 2.5 51.4% (-0.20)
Over 3.5 26.84% (+0.13)
Under 3.5 73.16% (-0.13)
Over 4.5 14.5% (+0.04)
Under 4.5 85.5% (-0.05)

First Half Winner

Ceuta 29.89% (+0.27)
Draw 44.34% (-1.21)
Celta de Vigo II 25.77% (+0.97)

Team To Score First

Ceuta 50.51% (+0.45)
No Goal 8.14% (+0.04)
Celta de Vigo II 41.35% (-0.48)

Corners

Over 8 57.95% (+7.77)
Equal 8 12.47% (+0.30)
Under 8 29.58% (-8.06)
Over 9 45.15% (+6.65)
Equal 9 12.8% (+1.12)
Under 9 42.05% (-7.77)
Over 10.5 33.26% (+5.06)
Under 10.5 66.74% (-5.07)

Ceuta Goals

Over 1.5 37.71% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 62.29% (+0.01)
Over 2.5 15.2% (-0.08)
Under 2.5 84.8% (+0.07)
Over 3.5 4.79% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 95.21% (+0.01)

Celta de Vigo II Goals

Over 0.5 67.85% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 32.15% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 34.02% (+0.23)
Under 1.5 65.98% (-0.22)
Over 2.5 12.65% (+0.24)
Under 2.5 87.35% (-0.24)
Over 3.5 3.96% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 96.04% (-0.03)

Score analysis

Ceuta 39.34%
Draw 26.09%
Celta de Vigo II 34.62%
Ceuta
1-0 @ 9.85% (+0.05)
2-1 @ 8.63% (+0.03)
2-0 @ 6.46% (-0.05)
3-1 @ 3.92% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 2.97%
3-2 @ 2.73% (-0.07)
Other @ 4.78% (-0.01)
Total : 39.34%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.97% (-0.20)
0-0 @ 8.14% (+0.04)
2-2 @ 5.18% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 26.09%
Celta de Vigo II
0-1 @ 9.31% (-0.02)
1-2 @ 7.76% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 5.7% (+0.04)
1-3 @ 3.25% (+0.07)
0-3 @ 2.41% (+0.07)
2-3 @ 2.24% (+0.08)
Other @ 3.95% (+0.04)
Total : 34.62%