Segunda Division Gameweek 4
Sep 5, 2026 5.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Municipal Alfonso Murube
  • Joaquín González 42' yellowcard
  • Kike Ribes 42' yellowcard
  • Carlos Hernández 72' yellowcard
  • Albert Caparrós 89' redcard
  • yellowcard Alexis Olmedo 24'
  • goal Adrià Capdevila 43'
  • yellowcard Kike Ribes 69'
  • yellowcard Anxo Rodríguez 72'
  • yellowcard Hugo Cuenca 72'
  • yellowcard Hugo Cuenca 79'
  • yellowcard Seyni Mbaye Ndiaye 79'
  • yellowcard Seyni Mbaye Ndiaye 83'
  • yellowcard 83'
  • goal Bernard Somuah 90'+3'

Ceuta vs Celta de Vigo II - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Ceuta

All competitions
Segunda Division
Last game
Aug 30, 2026 6.00pm
Mallorca 3 - 0 Ceuta
Goals scored
2
Top scorer
Jordi Escobar

Celta de Vigo II

All competitions
Segunda Division
Last game
Aug 31, 2026 8.30pm
Celta de Vigo II 1 - 2 Castellon
Goals scored
7
Top scorer
Bernard Somuah

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ceuta win with a probability of 39.42%. A win for Celta de Vigo II had a probability of 34.51% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ceuta win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.63%) and 2-0 (6.48%). The likeliest Celta de Vigo II win was 0-1 (9.32%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.98%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.

Result

Ceuta 39.42% ▲ (+0.08)
Draw 26.1% ▲ (+0.03)
Celta de Vigo II 34.51% ▼ (-0.11)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.64% ▼ (-0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 72.66% ▼ (-0.10)
Under 1.5 27.34% ▲ (+0.09)
Over 2.5 48.5% ▼ (-0.11)
Under 2.5 51.5% ▲ (+0.11)
Over 3.5 26.79% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 3.5 73.21% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 4.5 14.47% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 4.5 85.53% ▲ (+0.04)

First Half Winner

Ceuta 29.86% ▼ (-0.04)
Draw 44.36% ▲ (+0.02)
Celta de Vigo II 25.78% ▲ (+0.02)

Team To Score First

Ceuta 50.55% ▲ (+0.04)
No Goal 8.17% ▲ (+0.03)
Celta de Vigo II 41.28% ▼ (-0.08)

Corners

Over 8 57.85% ▼ (-0.11)
Equal 8 12.48% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 8 29.67% ▲ (+0.10)
Over 9 45.04% ▼ (-0.11)
Equal 9 12.8%
Under 9 42.15% ▲ (+0.11)
Over 10.5 33.16% ▼ (-0.11)
Under 10.5 66.84% ▲ (+0.11)

Ceuta Goals

Over 1.5 37.73% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 1.5 62.27% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 2.5 15.21% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 2.5 84.79% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 3.5 4.79%
Under 3.5 95.21%

Celta de Vigo II Goals

Over 0.5 67.75% ▼ (-0.10)
Under 0.5 32.25% ▲ (+0.11)
Over 1.5 33.89% ▼ (-0.14)
Under 1.5 66.11% ▲ (+0.13)
Over 2.5 12.56% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 2.5 87.44% ▲ (+0.10)
Over 3.5 3.93% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 3.5 96.07% ▲ (+0.03)

Score analysis

Ceuta 39.42%
Draw 26.11%
Celta de Vigo II 34.51%
Ceuta
1-0 @ 9.89% ▲ (+0.05)
2-1 @ 8.63%
2-0 @ 6.48% ▲ (+0.03)
3-1 @ 3.93% ▲ (+0.02)
3-0 @ 2.97%
3-2 @ 2.74% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 4.78%
Total : 39.42%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.98% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 8.17% ▲ (+0.03)
2-2 @ 5.17% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 26.11%
Celta de Vigo II
0-1 @ 9.32% ▲ (+0.01)
1-2 @ 7.73% ▼ (-0.03)
0-2 @ 5.69% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 3.23% ▼ (-0.03)
0-3 @ 2.38% ▼ (-0.04)
2-3 @ 2.24%
Other @ 3.92% ▼ (-0.04)
Total : 34.51%