Scottish Premiership Gameweek 10
Falkirk
Oct 24, 2026 3.00pm
Falkirk Community Stadium
Kilmarnock

Falkirk vs Kilmarnock - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Falkirk

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
Oct 17, 2026 3.00pm
Hibernian 1 - 2 Falkirk
Goals scored
9
Top scorer
Jacob Murrell

Kilmarnock

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
Oct 17, 2026 3.00pm
Kilmarnock 3 - 2 Motherwell
Goals scored
10
Top scorer
Greg Kiltie

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Falkirk win with a probability of 44.16%. A win for Kilmarnock has a probability of 32.24% and a draw has a probability of 23.63%.

The most likely scoreline for a Falkirk win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (7.92%) and 2-0 (6.36%). The likeliest Kilmarnock win is 1-2 (7.57%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.57%).

Result

Falkirk 44.16%
Draw 23.63%
Kilmarnock 32.24%

Both Teams to Score: 

61.81%

Goals

Over 1.5 81%
Under 1.5 19%
Over 2.5 59.76%
Under 2.5 40.24%
Over 3.5 38.05%
Under 3.5 61.95%
Over 4.5 22.98%
Under 4.5 77.02%

First Half Winner

Falkirk 36.93%
Draw 39.06%
Kilmarnock 24.01%

Team To Score First

Falkirk 55.33%
No Goal 4.93%
Kilmarnock 39.74%

Corners

Over 8 64.59%
Equal 8 10.86%
Under 8 24.55%
Over 9 52.89%
Equal 9 11.7%
Under 9 35.41%
Over 10.5 41.37%
Under 10.5 58.63%

Falkirk Goals

Over 1.5 47.43%
Under 1.5 52.57%
Over 2.5 22.96%
Under 2.5 77.04%
Over 3.5 8.91%
Under 3.5 91.09%

Kilmarnock Goals

Over 0.5 68.8%
Under 0.5 31.2%
Over 1.5 38.04%
Under 1.5 61.96%
Over 2.5 16.09%
Under 2.5 83.91%
Over 3.5 5.77%
Under 3.5 94.23%

Score analysis

Falkirk 44.16%
Draw 23.63%
Kilmarnock 32.23%
Falkirk
2-1 @ 8.83%
1-0 @ 7.92%
2-0 @ 6.36%
3-1 @ 5.19%
3-2 @ 3.85%
3-0 @ 3.36%
Other @ 8.65%
Total : 44.16%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.57%
2-2 @ 6.22%
0-0 @ 4.93%
3-3 @ 1.65%
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 23.63%
Kilmarnock
1-2 @ 7.57%
0-1 @ 6.17%
0-2 @ 4.31%
1-3 @ 3.66%
2-3 @ 3.06%
0-3 @ 1.95%
Other @ 5.51%
Total : 32.23%

Head to Head

Scottish Premiership Gameweek 29
Falkirk
Feb 28, 2026 3.00pm
5
1
HT : 3 1
FT Falkirk Community Stadium
Kilmarnock
  • Ethan Schilte-Brown 1' goal
  • Dylan Tait 28' goal
  • Barney Stewart 36' goal
  • Barney Stewart 50' goal
  • Dylan Tait 56' goal
  • Henry Cartwright 59' yellowcard
  • E. Williams 75' yellowcard
  • Lewis Neilson 75' yellowcard
  • Ethan Ross 75' yellowcard
  • Brian Graham 81' yellowcard
  • goal Greg Kiltie 40'
  • yellowcard Liam Polworth 58'
  • yellowcard Marley Watkins 59'
  • yellowcard Jamie Brandon 64'
  • yellowcard Nicky Clescenco 78'
  • yellowcard Aaron Tshibola 78'
Scottish Premiership
Kilmarnock
Dec 20, 2025 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Falkirk
  • Liam Polworth 61' yellowcard
  • Lewis Mayo 90'+7' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Henry Cartwright 36'
  • yellowcard 36'
  • goal Brian Graham 54'
Scottish Premiership
Kilmarnock
Dec 20, 2025 3.00pm
Falkirk
Scottish Premiership
Falkirk
Nov 1, 2025 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Kilmarnock
Scottish Premiership
Falkirk
Nov 1, 2025 3.00pm
Kilmarnock
Scottish Challenge Cup
Kilmarnock
Sep 4, 2021 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 1 1
FT BBSP Stadium Rugby Park
Falkirk
  • Fraser Murray 4' goal
  • Euan Murray 29' yellowcard
  • Jason Naismith 55' goal
  • Fraser Murray 78' goal
  • goal Aidan Nesbitt 8'
  • yellowcard Ernaldo Krasniqi 53'

Form Data

Hibernian 1 - 2 Falkirk
Falkirk 1 - 2 Dundee
St Johnstone 1 - 1 Falkirk
Falkirk 2 - 1 Hearts
Dundee Utd 1 - 1 Falkirk
Falkirk 1 - 2 Rangers
Kilmarnock 3 - 2 Motherwell
Rangers 3 - 1 Kilmarnock
Kilmarnock 1 - 1 Hearts
Hibernian 0 - 1 Kilmarnock
Kilmarnock 1 - 1 Aberdeen
Aberdeen 0 - 0 Kilmarnock