Scottish Premiership Gameweek 11
Oct 28, 2026 7.45pm
Kilmac Stadium at Dens Park

Dundee vs Kilmarnock - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Dundee

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
Oct 24, 2026 3.00pm
St Mirren 2 - 1 Dundee
Goals scored
14
Top scorer
Bradley Fink

Kilmarnock

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
Oct 24, 2026 3.00pm
Falkirk 3 - 0 Kilmarnock
Goals scored
10
Top scorer
Greg Kiltie

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Dundee win with a probability of 47.91%. A win for Kilmarnock has a probability of 27.18% and a draw has a probability of 24.91%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dundee win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (9.07%) and 2-0 (7.33%). The likeliest Kilmarnock win is 1-2 (7.09%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.51%).

Result

Dundee 47.91% ▲ (+4.43)
Draw 24.91% ▼ (-0.13)
Kilmarnock 27.18% ▼ (-4.27)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.62% ▼ (-0.79)

Goals

Over 1.5 78.54% ▲ (+0.36)
Under 1.5 21.46% ▼ (-0.36)
Over 2.5 55.87% ▲ (+0.68)
Under 2.5 44.13% ▼ (-0.68)
Over 3.5 32.82% ▼ (-0.15)
Under 3.5 67.18% ▲ (+0.15)
Over 4.5 19.15% ▲ (+0.17)
Under 4.5 80.85% ▼ (-0.18)

First Half Winner

Dundee 33.28% ▲ (+1.50)
Draw 40.77% ▼ (-0.69)
Kilmarnock 25.96% ▼ (-0.79)

Team To Score First

Dundee 53.23% ▲ (+1.48)
No Goal 5.95% ▲ (+0.13)
Kilmarnock 40.82% ▼ (-1.61)

Corners

Over 8 70.54% ▲ (+1.20)
Equal 8 9.8% ▼ (-0.24)
Under 8 19.67% ▼ (-0.94)
Over 9 59.43% ▲ (+1.33)
Equal 9 11.11% ▼ (-0.15)
Under 9 29.46% ▼ (-1.19)
Over 10.5 47.94% ▲ (+1.35)
Under 10.5 52.06% ▼ (-1.35)

Dundee Goals

Over 1.5 48.49% ▲ (+3.78)
Under 1.5 51.51% ▼ (-3.78)
Over 2.5 23.34% ▲ (+2.75)
Under 2.5 76.66% ▼ (-2.75)
Over 3.5 9.25% ▲ (+1.47)
Under 3.5 90.75% ▼ (-1.47)

Kilmarnock Goals

Over 0.5 64.14% ▼ (-3.36)
Under 0.5 35.86% ▲ (+3.36)
Over 1.5 31.37% ▼ (-3.63)
Under 1.5 68.63% ▲ (+3.62)
Over 2.5 11.32% ▼ (-2.09)
Under 2.5 88.68% ▲ (+2.10)
Over 3.5 3.45% ▼ (-0.76)
Under 3.5 96.55% ▲ (+0.76)

Score analysis

Dundee 47.91%
Draw 24.91%
Kilmarnock 27.18%
Dundee
2-1 @ 9.68% ▲ (+0.82)
1-0 @ 9.07% ▲ (+0.24)
2-0 @ 7.33% ▲ (+0.70)
3-1 @ 5.14% ▲ (+0.38)
3-0 @ 4.48% ▲ (+0.96)
3-2 @ 3.18% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 9.03% ▲ (+1.40)
Total : 47.91%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.51% ▼ (-0.25)
0-0 @ 5.95% ▲ (+0.13)
2-2 @ 5.94% ▼ (-0.05)
3-3 @ 1.29% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 0.22% ▲ (+0.08)
Total : 24.91%
Kilmarnock
1-2 @ 7.09% ▼ (-0.71)
0-1 @ 6.44% ▼ (-0.68)
0-2 @ 3.84% ▼ (-0.75)
1-3 @ 2.58% ▼ (-0.65)
2-3 @ 2.2% ▼ (-0.43)
0-3 @ 1.8% ▼ (-0.23)
Other @ 3.23% ▼ (-0.83)
Total : 27.18%

Head to Head

Scottish Premiership Gameweek 37
May 12, 2026 7.45pm
3
1
HT : 0 0
FT Rugby Park
  • Marley Watkins 58' yellowcard
  • Tom Lowery 62' goal
  • Joe Hugill 85' yellowcard
  • David Watson 87' yellowcard
  • 87' yellowcard
  • Lewis Mayo 87' yellowcard
  • Rory McKenzie 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Joe Hugill 90'+4' goal
  • yellowcard Joe Bevan 67'
  • yellowcard Charlie Reilly 68'
  • yellowcard Joe Westley 68'
  • goal Tom Lowery 77' (OG)
  • yellowcard Charley Oosenbrugh 78'
  • yellowcard Tony Yogane 86'
Scottish Premiership
Apr 11, 2026 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 2 1
FT Rugby Park
  • Joe Hugill 14' goal
  • Michael Schjönning-Larsen 33' goal
  • Dominic Thompson 72' yellowcard
  • Rory McKenzie 77' yellowcard
  • Brad Joseph Lyons 86' yellowcard
  • David Watson 86' yellowcard
  • goal Simon Murray 24'
  • yellowcard Imari Samuels 46'
  • yellowcard Ashley Hay 58'
  • yellowcard Joe Westley 58'
  • yellowcard Scott Wright 58'
  • yellowcard Ashley Hay 59'
  • yellowcard Charlie Reilly 70'
  • goal Scott Wright 81'
  • yellowcard Joe Westley 90'+13'
Scottish Cup
Jan 17, 2026 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT Rugby Park
  • Dominic Thompson 11' goal
  • Rory McKenzie 46' yellowcard
  • Scott Tiffoney 62' yellowcard
  • Bruce Anderson 84' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Clark Robertson 18'
  • yellowcard Charlie Reilly 67'
  • yellowcard Imari Samuels 67'
  • goal Ashley Hay 69'
  • yellowcard Simon Murray 84'
  • goal Drey Wright 90'+1'
Scottish Premiership
Dec 30, 2025 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Charlie Reilly 48' yellowcard
  • Yan Dhanda 53' yellowcard
  • Ashley Hay 57' goal
  • Charlie Reilly 72' goal
  • goal Greg Kiltie 38'
  • yellowcard Jack Thomson 53'
  • yellowcard Bradley Lyons 54'
  • yellowcard Dominic Thompson 63'
  • yellowcard 69'
  • yellowcard Ben Brannan 69'
Scottish Premiership
Dec 30, 2025 7.45pm
Scottish Premiership
Aug 23, 2025 3.00pm