Scottish Premiership Gameweek 9
Oct 17, 2026 3.00pm
Pittodrie Stadium

Aberdeen vs St Mirren - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Aberdeen

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
Oct 11, 2026 2.00pm
Aberdeen 0 - 1 St Johnstone
Goals scored
7
Top scorer
Kevin Nisbet

St Mirren

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
Oct 10, 2026 3.00pm
Hearts 5 - 0 St Mirren
Goals scored
8
Top scorer
Killian Phillips

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Aberdeen win with a probability of 45.8%. A win for St Mirren has a probability of 30.01% and a draw has a probability of 24.19%.

The most likely scoreline for a Aberdeen win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8.05%) and 2-0 (6.55%). The likeliest St Mirren win is 1-2 (7.46%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.21%).

Result

Aberdeen 45.8% ▲ (+2.73)
Draw 24.19% ▼ (-0.85)
St Mirren 30.01% ▼ (-1.88)

Both Teams to Score: 

59.52% ▲ (+1.49)

Goals

Over 1.5 80.32% ▲ (+2.08)
Under 1.5 19.68% ▼ (-2.09)
Over 2.5 58.51% ▲ (+3.13)
Under 2.5 41.49% ▼ (-3.13)
Over 3.5 35.37% ▲ (+2.12)
Under 3.5 64.63% ▼ (-2.13)
Over 4.5 20.91% ▲ (+1.68)
Under 4.5 79.09% ▼ (-1.68)

First Half Winner

Aberdeen 36.15% ▲ (+2.94)
Draw 39.58% ▲ (+0.63)
St Mirren 24.27% ▼ (-3.57)

Team To Score First

Aberdeen 53.17% ▲ (+3.72)
No Goal 5.1% ▼ (-0.77)
St Mirren 41.73% ▼ (-2.97)

Corners

Over 8 72.35% ▲ (+1.65)
Equal 8 9.51% ▼ (-0.21)
Under 8 18.15% ▼ (-1.45)
Over 9 61.37% ▲ (+1.69)
Equal 9 10.97% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 9 27.65% ▼ (-1.66)
Over 10.5 49.84% ▲ (+1.59)
Under 10.5 50.16% ▼ (-1.59)

Aberdeen Goals

Over 1.5 48.17% ▲ (+3.72)
Under 1.5 51.83% ▼ (-3.72)
Over 2.5 23.5% ▲ (+3.31)
Under 2.5 76.5% ▼ (-3.30)
Over 3.5 9.03% ▲ (+1.61)
Under 3.5 90.97% ▼ (-1.61)

St Mirren Goals

Over 0.5 67.41% ▼ (-0.55)
Under 0.5 32.59% ▲ (+0.55)
Over 1.5 34.88% ▼ (-0.73)
Under 1.5 65.12% ▲ (+0.74)
Over 2.5 13.82% ▼ (-0.50)
Under 2.5 86.18% ▲ (+0.50)
Over 3.5 4.53% ▼ (-0.43)
Under 3.5 95.47% ▲ (+0.43)

Score analysis

Aberdeen 45.81%
Draw 24.19%
St Mirren 30.01%
Aberdeen
2-1 @ 9.56% ▲ (+0.49)
1-0 @ 8.05% ▼ (-0.78)
2-0 @ 6.55% ▼ (-0.11)
3-1 @ 5.22% ▲ (+0.57)
3-0 @ 4.15% ▲ (+0.59)
3-2 @ 3.53% ▲ (+0.39)
Other @ 8.75% ▲ (+1.60)
Total : 45.81%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.21% ▼ (-0.32)
2-2 @ 6.03% ▲ (+0.08)
0-0 @ 5.1% ▼ (-0.77)
3-3 @ 1.57% ▲ (+0.16)
Other @ 0.28% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 24.19%
St Mirren
1-2 @ 7.46% ▼ (-0.06)
0-1 @ 6.54% ▼ (-0.54)
0-2 @ 4.04% ▼ (-0.63)
1-3 @ 3.22% ▼ (-0.20)
2-3 @ 2.53% ▼ (-0.04)
0-3 @ 1.97% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 4.25% ▼ (-0.45)
Total : 30.01%

Head to Head

Scottish Premiership Gameweek 37
May 12, 2026 7.45pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Pittodrie Stadium
  • Jack Milne 46' yellowcard
  • Lyall Cameron 46' yellowcard
  • Dylan Lobban 68' yellowcard
  • Topi Keskinen 68' yellowcard
  • Graeme Shinnie  80' yellowcard
  • goal Richard King 42'
  • goal Killian Phillips 80'
  • yellowcard Luke Douglas 90'+2'
Scottish Premiership
Apr 4, 2026 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT The Smisa Stadium
  • Jonah Ayunga 40' goal
  • Scott Tanser 59' yellowcard
  • 59' yellowcard
  • Dan N'Lundulu 59' yellowcard
  • Jayden Richardson 68' yellowcard
  • Alex Gogic 83' goal
  • yellowcard Toyosi Olusanya 46'
  • yellowcard Kevin Nisbet 46'
  • yellowcard Stuart Armstrong 46'
  • yellowcard Lyall Cameron 65'
  • yellowcard Dylan Lobban 79'
Scottish Premiership
Dec 3, 2025 7.45pm
3
3
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Dante Polvara 71' goal
  • Marko Lazetic 73' goal
  • Marko Lazetic 85' goal
  • yellowcard Fraser Taylor 28'
  • goal Marcus Fraser 55'
  • goal Jonah Ayunga 82'
  • goal Richard King 90'+9'
Scottish Premiership
Dec 3, 2025 7.45pm
Scottish Premiership
Oct 18, 2025 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Scottish Premiership
Oct 18, 2025 3.00pm