San Jose Earthquakes
MLS Playoffs | Regular Season
May 25, 2025 at 3.30am UK
Earthquakes Stadium
Houston Dynamo

Earthquakes
3 - 3
Houston

Judd (66', 66', 72', 72'), Munie (76', 76')
Judd (89'), Judd (89'), Roberts (90+7'), Roberts (90+7')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Ponce (31', 31'), de Andrade Vieira (50', 50'), Dorsey (90+1', 90+1')
Ponce (53'), Ponce (53'), Ortiz (89'), Ortiz (89')
Coverage of the MLS Playoffs Regular Season clash between San Jose Earthquakes and Houston Dynamo.

Form, Standings, Stats

San Jose Earthquakes

All competitions
MLS Playoffs
Last Game: New England 0-0 Earthquakes
Sunday, May 18 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Houston Dynamo

All competitions
MLS Playoffs
Last Game: Dallas 0-2 Houston
Sunday, May 18 at 2.25am in Major League Soccer

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Jose Earthquakes win with a probability of 41.08%. A win for Houston Dynamo had a probability of 35.78% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a San Jose Earthquakes win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.51%) and 2-0 (5.5%). The likeliest Houston Dynamo win was 1-2 (7.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.19%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.

Result
San Jose EarthquakesDrawHouston Dynamo
41.08% (-1.248 -1.25)23.14% (0.289 0.29)35.78% (0.96 0.96)
Both teams to score 64.55% (-0.88199999999999 -0.88)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.21% (-1.244 -1.24)36.79% (1.246 1.25)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.04% (-1.365 -1.37)58.96% (1.368 1.37)
San Jose Earthquakes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.58% (-1.031 -1.03)18.42% (1.033 1.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.42% (-1.777 -1.78)49.58% (1.779 1.78)
Houston Dynamo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.12% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)20.87% (0.082999999999998 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.42% (-0.128 -0.13)53.58% (0.13 0.13)
Score Analysis
    San Jose Earthquakes 41.08%
    Houston Dynamo 35.78%
    Draw 23.14%
San Jose EarthquakesDrawHouston Dynamo
2-1 @ 8.62% (-0.069000000000001 -0.07)
1-0 @ 6.51% (0.181 0.18)
2-0 @ 5.5% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-1 @ 4.86% (-0.206 -0.21)
3-2 @ 3.81% (-0.171 -0.17)
3-0 @ 3.1% (-0.123 -0.12)
4-1 @ 2.06% (-0.16 -0.16)
4-2 @ 1.61% (-0.13 -0.13)
4-0 @ 1.31% (-0.099 -0.1)
Other @ 3.7%
Total : 41.08%
1-1 @ 10.19% (0.257 0.26)
2-2 @ 6.75% (-0.071000000000001 -0.07)
0-0 @ 3.85% (0.23 0.23)
3-3 @ 1.99% (-0.095 -0.1)
Other @ 0.37%
Total : 23.14%
1-2 @ 7.98% (0.183 0.18)
0-1 @ 6.02% (0.346 0.35)
0-2 @ 4.72% (0.26 0.26)
1-3 @ 4.17% (0.084000000000001 0.08)
2-3 @ 3.53% (-0.046 -0.05)
0-3 @ 2.46% (0.13 0.13)
1-4 @ 1.63% (0.03 0.03)
2-4 @ 1.38% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-4 @ 0.97% (0.048 0.05)
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 35.78%

How you voted: Earthquakes vs Houston

San Jose Earthquakes
33.3%
Draw
33.3%
Houston Dynamo
33.3%
6
Head to Head
Jul 18, 2024 3.30am
Earthquakes
0-1
Houston

(90+6')
Steres (87')
Bassi (15'), Herrera (90+5')
> Preview
Mar 31, 2024 12.30am
Houston
2-1
Earthquakes
Ferreira (81'), Escobar (85')
Carrasquilla (45+2'), Ferreira (87')
Wilson (1')
Marie (9'), Akapo (76'), Yueill (86'), Gruezo (90+5')
Judd (34'), Yueill (90+5')
> Preview
Jun 22, 2023 1.30am
Houston
4-1
Earthquakes
Bassi (3'), Baird (5'), Ulfarsson (78', 90')
Sviatchenko (37'), Herrera (86')
Akapo (41')
Ebobisse (38'), Bouda (50'), Judson (67'), Yueill (81'), Skahan (85')
> Preview
Apr 2, 2023 3.30am
Earthquakes
2-1
Houston
> Preview
Jul 18, 2022 2.30am
Earthquakes
1-2
Houston
Monteiro (45')
Parker (28'), Vera (43'), Picault (90')
> Preview
rhs 2.0


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