Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CSKA Moscow win with a probability of 76.01%. A draw had a probability of 15.9% and a win for Nizhny Novgorod had a probability of 8.05%.
The most likely scoreline for a CSKA Moscow win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.24%) and 3-0 (11.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.52%), while for a Nizhny Novgorod win it was 0-1 (3.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 14.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for CSKA Moscow in this match.