Russian Premier League | Gameweek 28

May 10, 2025 at 5.30pm UK

VEB Arena

CSKA
1 - 0
Krasnodar

Guarirapa (69')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Coverage of the Russian Premier League clash between CSKA Moscow and FC Krasnodar.

Form, Standings, Stats

CSKA Moscow

All competitions

Last Game: Akhmat Grozny 1-1 CSKA
Sunday, May 4 at 2.30pm in Russian Premier League

Goals
for

FC Krasnodar

All competitions

Last Game: Krasnodar 2-1 Rubin Kazan
Saturday, May 3 at 5.30pm in Russian Premier League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CSKA Moscow win with a probability of 51.51%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for FC Krasnodar had a probability of 23.72%.

The most likely scoreline for a CSKA Moscow win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.56%) and 2-0 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.77%), while for a FC Krasnodar win it was 0-1 (7.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for CSKA Moscow in this match.

Result
CSKA Moscow	Draw	FC Krasnodar
51.51% ( -0.51)	24.76% ( 0.03)	23.72% ( 0.48)

Both teams to score 51.24% (

0.44)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.17% (

0.32)

50.83% (

-0.32)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.28% (

0.28)

72.72% (

-0.28)

CSKA Moscow Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.27% (

-0.08)

19.72% (

0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.26% (

-0.13)

51.74% (

0.13)

FC Krasnodar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.83% (

0.62)

36.17% (

-0.61)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.05% (

0.62)

72.95% (

-0.62)

Score Analysis

CSKA Moscow 51.51%

FC Krasnodar 23.73%

Draw 24.75%

CSKA Moscow	Draw	FC Krasnodar
1-0 @ 11.58% ( -0.17) 2-1 @ 9.56% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 9.4% ( -0.17) 3-1 @ 5.17% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 5.09% ( -0.1) 3-2 @ 2.63% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 2.1% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2.06% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 1.07% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.85% Total : 51.51%	1-1 @ 11.77% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.13% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 4.86% ( 0.08) Other @ 0.99% Total : 24.75%	0-1 @ 7.26% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 5.99% ( 0.11) 0-2 @ 3.69% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 2.03% ( 0.07) 2-3 @ 1.65% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 1.25% ( 0.05) Other @ 1.86% Total : 23.73%