Qatar Stars League Gameweek 22
Apr 27, 2026 3.15pm
Al-Khwar Stadium

Umm Salal vs Al Ahli - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Umm Salal

All competitions
Qatar Stars League
Last game
Apr 8, 2026 4.30pm
Al-Rayyan 3 - 0 Umm Salal
Goals scored
32
Top scorer
Antonio Mance

Al Ahli

All competitions
Qatar Stars League
Last game
Apr 8, 2026 4.30pm
Al Ahli 2 - 1 Al-Duhail
Goals scored
28
Top scorer
Driss Fettouhi

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Umm Salal win with a probability of 43.67%. A win for Al Ahli has a probability of 31.89% and a draw has a probability of 24.44%.

The most likely scoreline for a Umm Salal win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (7.35%) and 2-0 (6.14%). The likeliest Al Ahli win is 1-2 (7.65%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.63%).

Result

Umm Salal 43.67% (-0.01)
Draw 24.44%
Al Ahli 31.89% (+0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

60.8%

Goals

Over 1.5 81.49% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 18.51% (+0.03)
Over 2.5 60.31% (-0.08)
Under 2.5 39.69% (+0.08)
Over 3.5 37.46% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 62.54% (+0.02)
Over 4.5 22.53% (-0.02)
Under 4.5 77.47% (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Umm Salal 32.82% (-0.08)
Draw 39.65% (-0.29)
Al Ahli 27.53% (+0.36)

Team To Score First

Umm Salal 52.29% (-0.17)
No Goal 5.2% (+0.01)
Al Ahli 42.51% (+0.15)

Corners

Over 8 52.25% (+0.33)
Equal 8 11.98%
Under 8 35.77% (-0.33)
Over 9 40.56% (+0.31)
Equal 9 11.69% (+0.03)
Under 9 47.75% (-0.33)
Over 10.5 30.09% (+0.25)
Under 10.5 69.91% (-0.25)

Umm Salal Goals

Over 1.5 47.71% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 52.29% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 22.97% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 77.03% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 9.38% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 90.62% (-0.02)

Al Ahli Goals

Over 0.5 68.71% (-0.03)
Under 0.5 31.29% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 37.96% (-0.07)
Under 1.5 62.04% (+0.07)
Over 2.5 16.02% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 83.98% (+0.03)
Over 3.5 5.51% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 94.49% (+0.01)

Score analysis

Umm Salal 43.67%
Draw 24.44%
Al Ahli 31.89%
Umm Salal
2-1 @ 9.37% (-0.02)
1-0 @ 7.35%
2-0 @ 6.14% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 4.79%
3-0 @ 3.58% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 3.42% (-0.03)
Other @ 9.02% (+0.02)
Total : 43.67%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.63% (+0.04)
2-2 @ 6.45% (-0.02)
0-0 @ 5.2% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.8% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.36%
Total : 24.44%
Al Ahli
1-2 @ 7.65% (-0.02)
0-1 @ 5.96% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 4.42% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 3.68% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 2.78%
0-3 @ 2.25% (-0.01)
Other @ 5.15% (-0.01)
Total : 31.89%

Head to Head

Qatar Stars League
Dec 29, 2025 4.30pm
0
3
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Khalid Mohammed 12' yellowcard
  • Hilal Mohammed 19' yellowcard
  • Khalid Radwan Hasan 40' yellowcard
  • Khalid Radwan Hasan 41' yellowcard
  • Michel Vlap 45'+1' yellowcard
  • goal Oussama Tannane 58'
  • goal Cristo 64'
  • goal Antonio Mance 73'
  • yellowcard Ahmed Abdul Maqsoud 82'
Qatar Stars League Gameweek 21
Apr 11, 2025 4.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Al Thumama Stadium
  • Sekou Yansane 45' yellowcard
  • Idrissa Doumbia 63' yellowcard
  • Idrissa Doumbia 90'+1' redcard
  • goal Antonio Mance 41'
  • yellowcard Antonio Mance 57'
  • yellowcard Adel Al-Sulaimane 60'
  • yellowcard Abdulrahman Al Rashidi 84'
  • redcard Adel Al-Sulaimane 90'+5'
Qatar Stars League Gameweek 10
Nov 23, 2024 2.30pm
0
3
HT : 0 3
FT Grand Hamad Stadium
  • Naim Laidouni 77' yellowcard
  • Oussama Tannane 77' yellowcard
  • Victor Lekhal 90'+5' yellowcard
  • goal Antonio Mance 10' (OG)
  • yellowcard Driss Fettouhi 13'
  • goal Erik Exposito 29'
  • goal Idrissa Doumbia 36'
  • yellowcard Oussama Tannane 90'+5'
Qatar Stars League Gameweek 15
Feb 29, 2024 5.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 2
FT Hamad bin Khalifa Stadium
  • Sekou Yansane 4' goal
  • Robin Tihi 85' yellowcard
  • Idrissa Doumbia 86' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Marwan Louadni 18'
  • goal Victor Lekhal 32'
  • goal Nasser Al-Nasr 45'+4'
  • yellowcard Oussama Tannane 82'
  • yellowcard Elyas Barimil 90'+4'
Qatar Stars League Gameweek 4
Sep 23, 2023 6.00pm
3
1
HT : 2 0
FT Suheim Bin Hamad Stadium
  • Oussama Tannane 17' goal
  • Marwan Louadni 37' goal
  • Oussama Tannane 65' goal
  • Adel Al-Sulaimane 77' yellowcard
  • Andy Delort 90'+5' yellowcard
  • Meshaal Al-Shammari 90'+9' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jassem Mohammed Omar 51'
  • yellowcard Ahmad Al Sebai 55'
  • goal Naim Sliti 73'