Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Rayyan win with a probability of 66.52%. A draw had a probability of 17.52% and a win for Umm Salal had a probability of 15.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a Al-Rayyan win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.48%) and 2-0 (6.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.86%) , while for a Umm Salal win it was 1-2 (4.23%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.