Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Rayyan win with a probability of 52.94%. A win for Umm Salal had a probability of 24.85% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Rayyan win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.04%) and 2-0 (7.72%). The likeliest Umm Salal win was 1-2 (6.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.07%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al-Rayyan would win this match.

Result
Al-Rayyan	Draw	Umm Salal
52.94% ( 0.06)	22.21% ( -0.02)	24.85% ( -0.04)

Both teams to score 60.97% (

0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.44% (

0.06)

38.56% (

-0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.15% (

0.06)

60.85% (

-0.06)

Al-Rayyan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.33% (

0.04)

14.67% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.18% (

0.08)

42.82% (

-0.07)

Umm Salal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.45% (

0.01)

28.55% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.66% (

0.01)

64.34% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Al-Rayyan 52.94%

Umm Salal 24.85%

Draw 22.21%

Al-Rayyan	Draw	Umm Salal
2-1 @ 9.67% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8.04% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 7.72% 3-1 @ 6.19% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 4.94% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.88% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.97% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2.37% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.86% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.14% ( 0) 5-0 @ 0.91% ( 0) Other @ 3.27% Total : 52.94%	1-1 @ 10.07% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.06% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.19% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.62% ( 0) Other @ 0.27% Total : 22.21%	1-2 @ 6.32% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 5.25% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 3.29% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.64% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.53% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.38% ( -0) Other @ 3.45% Total : 24.85%