Qatar Stars League | Gameweek 21
Apr 11, 2025 at 4.30pm UK
Al Thumama Stadium

Al Ahli
0 - 1
Umm Salal


Yansane (45'), Doumbia (63')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Mance (41' pen.)
Mance (57'), Al-Sulaimane (60'), Al Rashidi (84')
Al-Sulaimane (90+5')
Coverage of the Qatar Stars League clash between Al Ahli and Umm Salal.

Form, Standings, Stats

Al Ahli

All competitions
Last Game: Al Shahaniya 2-3 Al Ahli
Friday, April 4 at 3pm in Qatar Stars League

Umm Salal

All competitions
Last Game: Umm Salal 0-1 Al Wakrah
Friday, April 4 at 3pm in Qatar Stars League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Ahli win with a probability of 40.41%. A win for Umm Salal had a probability of 36.29% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al Ahli win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.61%) and 2-0 (5.48%). The likeliest Umm Salal win was 1-2 (8.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.32%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.

Result
Al AhliDrawUmm Salal
40.41% (0.29 0.29)23.3% (-0.065000000000001 -0.07)36.29% (-0.221 -0.22)
Both teams to score 64.05% (0.222 0.22)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.52% (0.301 0.3)37.48% (-0.298 -0.3)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.3% (0.324 0.32)59.7% (-0.32100000000001 -0.32)
Al Ahli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81% (0.256 0.26)19% (-0.254 -0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.45% (0.422 0.42)50.55% (-0.419 -0.42)
Umm Salal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.07% (0.024999999999991 0.02)20.93% (-0.022000000000002 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.34% (0.039999999999999 0.04)53.67% (-0.037000000000006 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Al Ahli 40.41%
    Umm Salal 36.29%
    Draw 23.29%
Al AhliDrawUmm Salal
2-1 @ 8.58% (0.02 0.02)
1-0 @ 6.61% (-0.042 -0.04)
2-0 @ 5.48% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.75% (0.049 0.05)
3-2 @ 3.71% (0.041 0.04)
3-0 @ 3.04% (0.029 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.97% (0.035 0.04)
4-2 @ 1.54% (0.03 0.03)
4-0 @ 1.26% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 3.48%
Total : 40.41%
1-1 @ 10.32% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-2 @ 6.71% (0.021 0.02)
0-0 @ 3.98% (-0.057 -0.06)
3-3 @ 1.94% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 0.35%
Total : 23.29%
1-2 @ 8.08% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
0-1 @ 6.22% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)
0-2 @ 4.86% (-0.063999999999999 -0.06)
1-3 @ 4.21% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
2-3 @ 3.5% (0.013 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.54% (-0.031 -0.03)
1-4 @ 1.65% (-0.006 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.37% (0.006 0.01)
0-4 @ 0.99% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 36.29%

Head to Head
Nov 23, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 10
Umm Salal
0-3
Al Ahli

Laidouni (77'), Tannane (77'), Lekhal (90+5')
Mance (10' og.), Exposito (29'), Doumbia (36')
Fettouhi (13'), Tannane (90+5')
Feb 29, 2024 5pm
Gameweek 15
Al Ahli
1-2
Umm Salal
Yansane (4')
Tihi (85'), Doumbia (86')
Lekhal (32'), Al-Nasr (45+4')
Louadni (18'), Tannane (82'), Barimil (90+4')
Sep 23, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 4
Umm Salal
3-1
Al Ahli
Tannane (17', 65'), Louadni (37')
Al-Sulaimane (77'), Al-Shammari (90+9'), Delort (90+5')
Sliti (73')
Mohammed Omar (51'), Al Sebai (55')