Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Ahli win with a probability of 42.03%. A win for Al Shahaniya had a probability of 35.21% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al Ahli win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.16%) and 0-2 (5.41%). The likeliest Al Shahaniya win was 2-1 (7.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al Ahli would win this match.