Qatar Stars League | Gameweek 20

Apr 4, 2025 at 3pm UK

Grand Hamad Stadium

Umm Salal
0 - 1
Al Wakrah

Laidouni (80')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Boulaya (19')
Fathi (86'), Ali Mukhtar (90+4')

Coverage of the Qatar Stars League clash between Umm Salal and Al Wakrah.

Form, Standings, Stats

Umm Salal

All competitions

Last Game: Al Khor 3-0 Umm Salal
Friday, March 28 at 6pm in Qatar Stars League

Goals
for

Al Wakrah

All competitions

Last Game: Al-Sadd 3-0 Al Wakrah
Saturday, March 29 at 6pm in Qatar Stars League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Wakrah win with a probability of 54%. A win for Umm Salal had a probability of 25% and a draw had a probability of 21%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al Wakrah win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (6.8%) and 1-3 (6.56%). The likeliest Umm Salal win was 2-1 (6.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al Wakrah would win this match.

Result
Umm Salal	Draw	Al Wakrah
25% ( 0.97)	21% ( 0.02)	54% ( -0.99)

Both teams to score 65.65% (

1.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

67.5% (

0.93)

32.5% (

-0.93)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

45.85% (

1.08)

54.15% (

-1.07)

Umm Salal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.84% (

1.22)

25.16% (

-1.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.12% (

1.66)

59.88% (

-1.65)

Al Wakrah Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.73% (

0.03)

12.27% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

61.98% (

0.05)

38.02% (

-0.05)

Score Analysis

Umm Salal 25%

Al Wakrah 54%

Draw 21%

Umm Salal	Draw	Al Wakrah
2-1 @ 6.17% ( 0.13) 1-0 @ 4.26% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 2.98% ( 0.17) 2-0 @ 2.94% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 2.84% ( 0.16) 3-0 @ 1.35% ( 0.07) 4-2 @ 1.03% ( 0.09) 4-1 @ 0.98% ( 0.09) Other @ 2.46% Total : 25%	1-1 @ 8.94% ( -0.12) 2-2 @ 6.47% ( 0.14) 0-0 @ 3.09% ( -0.16) 3-3 @ 2.08% ( 0.12) Other @ 0.42% Total : 21%	1-2 @ 9.38% ( -0.12) 0-2 @ 6.8% ( -0.33) 1-3 @ 6.56% ( -0.08) 0-1 @ 6.48% ( -0.32) 0-3 @ 4.75% ( -0.23) 2-3 @ 4.52% ( 0.1) 1-4 @ 3.44% ( -0.04) 0-4 @ 2.49% ( -0.12) 2-4 @ 2.37% ( 0.06) 1-5 @ 1.44% ( -0.01) 3-4 @ 1.09% ( 0.06) 0-5 @ 1.05% ( -0.05) 2-5 @ 1% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.65% Total : 54%