Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Wakrah win with a probability of 54%. A win for Umm Salal had a probability of 25% and a draw had a probability of 21%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al Wakrah win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (6.8%) and 1-3 (6.56%). The likeliest Umm Salal win was 2-1 (6.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al Wakrah would win this match.