Europa League
Jul 23, 2026 5.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Bakı Olimpiya Stadionu
  • Marko Jankovic 37' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Leandro Godoy 35'
  • yellowcard Facundo Rodríguez 77'

Qarabag FK vs CSKA Sofia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Qarabag FK

All competitions

CSKA Sofia

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Qarabag FK win with a probability of 45.82%. A win for CSKA Sofia had a probability of 30.29% and a draw had a probability of 23.89%.

The most likely scoreline for a Qarabag FK win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.8%) and 2-0 (6.96%). The likeliest CSKA Sofia win was 1-2 (7.56%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.

Result

Qarabag FK 45.82%
Draw 23.89%
CSKA Sofia 30.29%

Both Teams to Score: 

56.06%

Goals

Over 1.5 79.08%
Under 1.5 20.92%
Over 2.5 56.91%
Under 2.5 43.09%
Over 3.5 33.36%
Under 3.5 66.6% (-0.05)
Over 4.5 20%
Under 4.5 80%

First Half Winner

Qarabag FK 32.37%
Draw 41.91%
CSKA Sofia 25.71%

Team To Score First

Qarabag FK 51.23% (+0.01)
No Goal 5.74%
CSKA Sofia 43.03% (-0.01)

Corners

Over 8 59.46% (+0.01)
Equal 8 10.82% (-0.01)
Under 8 29.72%
Over 9 48.29% (+0.01)
Equal 9 11.17%
Under 9 40.54% (-0.01)
Over 10.5 37.67% (+0.02)
Under 10.5 62.33% (-0.02)

Qarabag FK Goals

Over 1.5 46.58%
Under 1.5 53.42%
Over 2.5 22.37%
Under 2.5 77.63%
Over 3.5 8.66%
Under 3.5 91.34%

CSKA Sofia Goals

Over 0.5 65.74% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 34.26% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 34.34%
Under 1.5 65.66%
Over 2.5 13.68%
Under 2.5 86.32%
Over 3.5 4.6%
Under 3.5 95.4%

Score analysis

Qarabag FK 45.81%
Draw 23.89%
CSKA Sofia 30.3%
Qarabag FK
2-1 @ 9.29% (-0.02)
1-0 @ 8.8% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 6.96% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 4.81%
3-0 @ 4.3%
3-2 @ 3.19%
Other @ 8.46%
Total : 45.81%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.92%
0-0 @ 5.74%
2-2 @ 5.62%
3-3 @ 1.41%
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 23.89%
CSKA Sofia
1-2 @ 7.56%
0-1 @ 6.38%
0-2 @ 4.29%
1-3 @ 2.94%
0-3 @ 2.39%
2-3 @ 2.34%
Other @ 4.4%
Total : 30.3%

Head to Head

Club Friendlies 3
Jun 27, 2026 4.00pm
Stadion Vasil Levski