Croatian 1. HNL | Gameweek 35
May 17, 2025 at 4pm UK
Stadion Andelko Herjavec

Varazdin
2 - 1
Osijek

Mitrovski (22'), Vuk (28')
Zelenika (90+5')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Hernani (9')
Omerovic (85')
Coverage of the Croatian 1. HNL clash between NK Varazdin and Osijek.

Form, Standings, Stats

NK Varazdin

All competitions
Last Game: Istra 1961 0-0 Varazdin
Sunday, May 11 at 5.15pm in Croatian 1. HNL

Osijek

All competitions
Last Game: Osijek 1-1 NK Lokomotiva
Friday, May 9 at 5pm in Croatian 1. HNL

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NK Varazdin win with a probability of 46.27%. A draw had a probability of 27.9% and a win for Osijek had a probability of 25.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a NK Varazdin win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.35%) and 2-1 (8.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.88%), while for a Osijek win it was 0-1 (9.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that NK Varazdin would win this match.

Result
NK VarazdinDrawOsijek
46.27% (-0.665 -0.66)27.95% (0.224 0.22)25.78% (0.443 0.44)
Both teams to score 44.21% (-0.243 -0.24)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.06% (-0.48 -0.48)60.94% (0.482 0.48)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.05% (-0.361 -0.36)80.95% (0.363 0.36)
NK Varazdin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.6% (-0.551 -0.55)26.39% (0.553 0.55)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.44% (-0.742 -0.74)61.55% (0.744 0.74)
Osijek Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.06% (0.123 0.12)39.94% (-0.121 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.4% (0.114 0.11)76.59% (-0.113 -0.11)
Score Analysis
    NK Varazdin 46.27%
    Osijek 25.78%
    Draw 27.94%
NK VarazdinDrawOsijek
1-0 @ 14.04% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
2-0 @ 9.35% (-0.126 -0.13)
2-1 @ 8.58% (-0.087 -0.09)
3-0 @ 4.15% (-0.123 -0.12)
3-1 @ 3.81% (-0.1 -0.1)
3-2 @ 1.75% (-0.04 -0.04)
4-0 @ 1.38% (-0.063 -0.06)
4-1 @ 1.27% (-0.054 -0.05)
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 46.27%
1-1 @ 12.88% (0.07 0.07)
0-0 @ 10.54% (0.19 0.19)
2-2 @ 3.94% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 0.58%
Total : 27.94%
0-1 @ 9.68% (0.205 0.21)
1-2 @ 5.92% (0.053 0.05)
0-2 @ 4.44% (0.108 0.11)
1-3 @ 1.81% (0.023 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.36% (0.038 0.04)
2-3 @ 1.21% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 1.38%
Total : 25.78%

Head to Head
Mar 16, 2025 2pm
Gameweek 26
Osijek
0-0
Varazdin
Omerovic (40')
Ba (28'), Marina (74'), Marina (74')
Dec 15, 2024 2pm
Gameweek 17
Varazdin
0-0
Osijek
Dantas (37'), Mitrovski (62')
Hasic (30'), Marina (36'), Jelenic (69')
Sep 29, 2024 4.30pm
Gameweek 8
Osijek
2-1
Varazdin
Jakupovic (16', 21')
Jakupovic (90+5')
Mamic (89')
Ba (56')
May 25, 2024 4pm
Gameweek 36
Varazdin
0-2
Osijek

Nekic (32'), Ba (57')
Mierez (65'), Bukvic (69')
Smoje (33'), Fucak (90+1')
Mar 15, 2024 4pm
Gameweek 27
Osijek
0-1
Varazdin

Zekic (18'), Matkovic (39'), Pusic (48'), Bukvic (52'), Mierez (90+4'), Mierez (90+4')
Belcar (12')
Jelenic (17')