Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NK Varazdin win with a probability of 46.27%. A draw had a probability of 27.9% and a win for Osijek had a probability of 25.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a NK Varazdin win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.35%) and 2-1 (8.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.88%), while for a Osijek win it was 0-1 (9.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that NK Varazdin would win this match.