Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Slaven Koprivnica win with a probability of 45.45%. A win for Osijek had a probability of 27.54% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Slaven Koprivnica win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.85%) and 2-0 (8.69%). The likeliest Osijek win was 0-1 (9.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.