Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NK Istra 1961 win with a probability of 43.87%. A draw had a probability of 28.4% and a win for NK Varazdin had a probability of 27.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a NK Istra 1961 win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.78%) and 2-1 (8.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.09%), while for a NK Varazdin win it was 0-1 (10.27%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.