Croatian 1. HNL Gameweek 4
Aug 23, 2026 5.30pm
Stadion HNK Rijeka

HNK Rijeka vs NK Istra 1961 - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

HNK Rijeka

All competitions
Last game
Aug 16, 2026 5.30pm
Varazdin 2 - 0 Rijeka

NK Istra 1961

All competitions
Last game
Aug 15, 2026 5.30pm
Istra 1961 3 - 0 Slaven Koprivnica

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a HNK Rijeka win with a probability of 62.24%. A draw has a probability of 22.36% and a win for NK Istra 1961 has a probability of 15.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a HNK Rijeka win is 1-0 with a probability of 12.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (11.64%) and 2-1 (10.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.56%) , while for a NK Istra 1961 win it is 0-1 (5.17%).

Result

HNK Rijeka 62.24% (+0.07)
Draw 22.36%
NK Istra 1961 15.4% (-0.07)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.15% (+0.01)

Goals

Over 1.5 75.66% (-0.05)
Under 1.5 24.34% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 51.71% (-0.14)
Under 2.5 48.29% (+0.14)
Over 3.5 28.43% (-0.09)
Under 3.5 71.57% (+0.09)
Over 4.5 16.83% (-0.07)
Under 4.5 83.17% (+0.07)

First Half Winner

HNK Rijeka 43.57% (+0.01)
Draw 41.92% (+0.08)
NK Istra 1961 14.51% (-0.09)

Team To Score First

HNK Rijeka 65.91% (+0.04)
No Goal 6.81% (+0.02)
NK Istra 1961 27.28% (-0.05)

Corners

Over 8 59.78% (-0.02)
Equal 8 10.88%
Under 8 29.35% (+0.03)
Over 9 48.53% (-0.02)
Equal 9 11.24% (-0.01)
Under 9 40.22% (+0.02)
Over 10.5 37.83% (-0.02)
Under 10.5 62.17% (+0.02)

HNK Rijeka Goals

Over 1.5 55.95%
Under 1.5 44.05%
Over 2.5 28.19% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 71.81% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 11.27% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 88.73% (+0.02)

NK Istra 1961 Goals

Over 0.5 50.76% (-0.11)
Under 0.5 49.24% (+0.11)
Over 1.5 18.09% (-0.11)
Under 1.5 81.91% (+0.11)
Over 2.5 4.78% (-0.07)
Under 2.5 95.22% (+0.07)
Over 3.5 0.97% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 99.03% (+0.04)

Score analysis

HNK Rijeka 62.25%
Draw 22.36%
NK Istra 1961 15.4%
HNK Rijeka
1-0 @ 12.37% (+0.03)
2-0 @ 11.64% (+0.08)
2-1 @ 10.77% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 7.2%
3-1 @ 6.17% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.87% (-0.01)
Other @ 11.23%
Total : 62.25%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.56% (+0.03)
0-0 @ 6.81% (+0.02)
2-2 @ 4.27% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.04% (-0.02)
Total : 22.36%
NK Istra 1961
0-1 @ 5.17%
1-2 @ 4.43% (-0.03)
0-2 @ 1.74%
1-3 @ 1.17% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.08% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.93% (-0.02)
Total : 15.4%

Head to Head

Croatian 1. HNL
May 17, 2026 5.45pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stadion Aldo Drosina
  • Silvio Gorican 62' yellowcard
  • Marcel Heister 72' yellowcard
  • Vinko Rozic 72' yellowcard
  • Nik Skafar Zuzic 83' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Justas Lasickas 62'
Croatian 1. HNL
Mar 15, 2026 4.45pm
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT Stadion HNK Rijeka
  • Alfonso Daniel Barco del Solar 46' yellowcard
  • Tornike Morchiladze 46' yellowcard
  • Daniel Adu-Adjei 61' yellowcard
  • Ante Orec 61' yellowcard
  • Dominik Thaqi 73' yellowcard
  • goal Smail Prevljak 2'
  • goal Emil Frederiksen 9'
  • yellowcard Israel Isaac Ayuma 54'
  • yellowcard Niko Šepić 67'
  • yellowcard Niko Šepić 68'
  • yellowcard Samuli Miettinen 83'
Croatian 1. HNL Gameweek 17
Jan 20, 2026 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 2 1
FT Stadion Aldo Drosina
  • Salim Lawal 5' goal
  • Salim Fago Lawal 5' goal
  • Advan Kadusic 16' yellowcard
  • Vinko Rozic 58' yellowcard
  • Danijel Djuric 69' yellowcard
  • Charles Adah Agada 83' yellowcard
  • goal Luka Menalo 9'
  • yellowcard Daniel Adu-Adjei 16'
  • yellowcard Amer Gojak 16'
  • yellowcard Tornike Morchiladze 66'
  • yellowcard Tiago Dantas 75'
  • yellowcard Duje Cop 88'
  • yellowcard Teo Barišić 88'
  • yellowcard Teo Barišić 89'
Croatian 1. HNL
Sep 27, 2025 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Croatian 1. HNL Gameweek 30
Apr 19, 2025 5.45pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stadion Aldo Drosina
  • Salim Lawal 28' goal
  • Vinko Rozic 70' goal
  • yellowcard Amer Gojak 22'
  • yellowcard Niko Jankovic 67'
  • yellowcard Ante Majstorovic 78'
  • yellowcard Ante Orec 84'
Croatian 1. HNL Gameweek 21
Feb 9, 2025 2.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Stadion HNK Rijeka
  • Bruno Goda 46' yellowcard
  • Nais Djouahra 70' yellowcard
  • goal Giorgi Gagua 38'
  • yellowcard Ville Koski 53'
  • yellowcard Kristian Fucak 56'
  • yellowcard Stephane Paul Keller 69'
  • yellowcard Stjepan Loncar 90'+3'