Croatian 1. HNL
Aug 23, 2026 5.30pm
3
2
HT : 2 0
FT Stadion HNK Rijeka
  • Mohamed Nasraoui 18' goal
  • Jakov Puljic 43' goal
  • Toni Fruk 53' goal
  • yellowcard Hamza Jaganjac 62'
  • goal Hamza Jaganjac 71'
  • goal Emil Frederiksen 90'+3'

HNK Rijeka vs NK Istra 1961 - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

HNK Rijeka

All competitions
Last game
Aug 16, 2026 5.30pm
Varazdin 2 - 0 Rijeka
Goals scored
5
Top scorer
Justas Lasickas

NK Istra 1961

All competitions
Last game
Aug 15, 2026 5.30pm
Istra 1961 3 - 0 Slaven Koprivnica
Goals scored
9
Top scorer
Emil Frederiksen

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a HNK Rijeka win with a probability of 61.84%. A draw had a probability of 22.45% and a win for NK Istra 1961 had a probability of 15.71%.

The most likely scoreline for a HNK Rijeka win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.48%) and 2-1 (10.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.61%) , while for a NK Istra 1961 win it was 0-1 (5.2%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.

Result

HNK Rijeka 61.84% ▼ (-0.40)
Draw 22.45% ▲ (+0.09)
NK Istra 1961 15.71% ▲ (+0.32)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.57% ▲ (+0.43)

Goals

Over 1.5 75.87% ▲ (+0.22)
Under 1.5 24.13% ▼ (-0.22)
Over 2.5 51.99% ▲ (+0.29)
Under 2.5 48.01% ▼ (-0.29)
Over 3.5 28.75% ▲ (+0.33)
Under 3.5 71.25% ▼ (-0.32)
Over 4.5 16.98% ▲ (+0.16)
Under 4.5 83.02% ▼ (-0.16)

First Half Winner

HNK Rijeka 43.55% ▼ (-0.03)
Draw 41.93% ▲ (+0.01)
NK Istra 1961 14.51%

Team To Score First

HNK Rijeka 65.87% ▼ (-0.04)
No Goal 6.74% ▼ (-0.07)
NK Istra 1961 27.39% ▲ (+0.11)

Corners

Over 8 59.71% ▼ (-0.08)
Equal 8 10.9% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 8 29.39% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 9 48.44% ▼ (-0.10)
Equal 9 11.26% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 9 40.29% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 10.5 37.73% ▼ (-0.11)
Under 10.5 62.27% ▲ (+0.11)

HNK Rijeka Goals

Over 1.5 55.87% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 1.5 44.13% ▲ (+0.09)
Over 2.5 28.15% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 2.5 71.85% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 3.5 11.24% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 3.5 88.76% ▲ (+0.04)

NK Istra 1961 Goals

Over 0.5 51.32% ▲ (+0.57)
Under 0.5 48.68% ▼ (-0.57)
Over 1.5 18.53% ▲ (+0.45)
Under 1.5 81.47% ▼ (-0.44)
Over 2.5 4.98% ▲ (+0.21)
Under 2.5 95.02% ▼ (-0.21)
Over 3.5 1.04% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 3.5 98.96% ▼ (-0.08)

Score analysis

HNK Rijeka 61.85%
Draw 22.45%
NK Istra 1961 15.71%
HNK Rijeka
1-0 @ 12.2% ▼ (-0.17)
2-0 @ 11.48% ▼ (-0.17)
2-1 @ 10.78% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 7.08% ▼ (-0.13)
3-1 @ 6.2% ▲ (+0.04)
3-2 @ 2.92% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 11.19% ▼ (-0.05)
Total : 61.85%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.61% ▲ (+0.05)
0-0 @ 6.74% ▼ (-0.07)
2-2 @ 4.34% ▲ (+0.08)
Other @ 0.05% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 22.45%
NK Istra 1961
0-1 @ 5.2% ▲ (+0.04)
1-2 @ 4.5% ▲ (+0.08)
0-2 @ 1.79% ▲ (+0.06)
1-3 @ 1.22% ▲ (+0.06)
2-3 @ 1.12% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 0.99% ▲ (+0.06)
Total : 15.71%

Head to Head

Croatian 1. HNL
May 17, 2026 5.45pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stadion Aldo Drosina
  • Silvio Gorican 62' yellowcard
  • Marcel Heister 72' yellowcard
  • Vinko Rozic 72' yellowcard
  • Nik Skafar Zuzic 83' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Justas Lasickas 62'
Croatian 1. HNL
Mar 15, 2026 4.45pm
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT Stadion HNK Rijeka
  • Alfonso Daniel Barco del Solar 46' yellowcard
  • Tornike Morchiladze 46' yellowcard
  • Daniel Adu-Adjei 61' yellowcard
  • Ante Orec 61' yellowcard
  • Dominik Thaqi 73' yellowcard
  • goal Smail Prevljak 2'
  • goal Emil Frederiksen 9'
  • yellowcard Israel Isaac Ayuma 54'
  • yellowcard Niko Šepić 67'
  • yellowcard Niko Šepić 68'
  • yellowcard Samuli Miettinen 83'
Croatian 1. HNL Gameweek 17
Jan 20, 2026 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 2 1
FT Stadion Aldo Drosina
  • Salim Lawal 5' goal
  • Salim Fago Lawal 5' goal
  • Advan Kadusic 16' yellowcard
  • Vinko Rozic 58' yellowcard
  • Danijel Djuric 69' yellowcard
  • Charles Adah Agada 83' yellowcard
  • goal Luka Menalo 9'
  • yellowcard Daniel Adu-Adjei 16'
  • yellowcard Amer Gojak 16'
  • yellowcard Tornike Morchiladze 66'
  • yellowcard Tiago Dantas 75'
  • yellowcard Duje Cop 88'
  • yellowcard Teo Barišić 88'
  • yellowcard Teo Barišić 89'
Croatian 1. HNL
Sep 27, 2025 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Croatian 1. HNL Gameweek 30
Apr 19, 2025 5.45pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stadion Aldo Drosina
  • Salim Lawal 28' goal
  • Vinko Rozic 70' goal
  • yellowcard Amer Gojak 22'
  • yellowcard Niko Jankovic 67'
  • yellowcard Ante Majstorovic 78'
  • yellowcard Ante Orec 84'
Croatian 1. HNL Gameweek 21
Feb 9, 2025 2.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Stadion HNK Rijeka
  • Bruno Goda 46' yellowcard
  • Nais Djouahra 70' yellowcard
  • goal Giorgi Gagua 38'
  • yellowcard Ville Koski 53'
  • yellowcard Kristian Fucak 56'
  • yellowcard Stephane Paul Keller 69'
  • yellowcard Stjepan Loncar 90'+3'