Primeira Liga Gameweek 11
Nov 7, 2026 3.30pm
Estádio da Madeira

Nacional vs Academico de Viseu - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Nacional

All competitions
Last game
Nov 1, 2026 3.30pm
Arouca 1 - 0 Nacional
Goals scored
10
Top scorer
Abdel Kader Njoya

Academico de Viseu

All competitions
Last game
Nov 1, 2026 6.00pm
Viseu 2 - 1 Rio Ave
Goals scored
15
Top scorer
André Clóvis

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Academico de Viseu win with a probability of 37.45%. A win for Nacional has a probability of 36.47% and a draw has a probability of 26.08%.

The most likely scoreline for a Academico de Viseu win is 0-1 with a probability of 8.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.55%) and 0-2 (5.94%). The likeliest Nacional win is 1-0 (8.84%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.15%).

Result

Nacional 36.47%
Draw 26.08%
Academico de Viseu 37.45% ▲ (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.96%

Goals

Over 1.5 75.3% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 1.5 24.7% ▼ (-0.07)
Over 2.5 51.38% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 2.5 48.62%
Over 3.5 29.16%
Under 3.5 70.84%
Over 4.5 15.96% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 4.5 84.04% ▼ (-0.01)

First Half Winner

Nacional 29.21%
Draw 43.51% ▲ (+0.01)
Academico de Viseu 27.28% ▼ (-0.01)

Team To Score First

Nacional 47.57%
No Goal 6.95%
Academico de Viseu 45.48%

Corners

Over 8 57.34%
Equal 8 11.54%
Under 8 31.12%
Over 9 45.61%
Equal 9 11.72%
Under 9 42.66%
Over 10.5 34.69%
Under 10.5 65.31%

Nacional Goals

Over 1.5 37.06% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 1.5 62.94% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 2.5 14.76% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 2.5 85.24% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 3.5 4.64%
Under 3.5 95.36%

Academico de Viseu Goals

Over 0.5 71.15% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 0.5 28.85% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 1.5 38.23% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 1.5 61.77% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 2.5 15.31% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 2.5 84.69% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 3.5 5.13% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 3.5 94.87% ▼ (-0.01)

Score analysis

Nacional 36.46%
Draw 26.07%
Academico de Viseu 37.46%
Nacional
1-0 @ 8.84% ▼ (-0.01)
2-1 @ 8.27%
2-0 @ 5.83%
3-1 @ 3.6%
3-2 @ 2.7%
3-0 @ 2.69% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 4.53%
Total : 36.46%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.15%
0-0 @ 6.95%
2-2 @ 5.73%
3-3 @ 1.13%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.07%
Academico de Viseu
0-1 @ 8.9%
1-2 @ 8.55% ▲ (+0.02)
0-2 @ 5.94% ▲ (+0.02)
1-3 @ 3.87%
0-3 @ 2.71% ▲ (+0.03)
2-3 @ 2.47%
Other @ 5.02% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 37.46%