Premier League 2 - Div 1
Mar 14, 2025 7.00pm
5
3
HT : 2 2
FT Britannia Stadium
  • Ryan Mmaee 12' goal
  • Emre Tezgel 23' goal
  • William Smith 53' yellowcard
  • Emre Tezgel 72' goal
  • Emre Tezgel 73' yellowcard
  • Emre Tezgel 80' goal
  • Jaden Dixon 88' yellowcard
  • Emre Tezgel 90'+5' goal
  • yellowcard Robinson Keilen 26'
  • goal Lennon Wheeldon 32'
  • goal Lennon Wheeldon 43'
  • yellowcard Riley Moloney 57'
  • goal Owen Eames 69'

Stoke City Under-21s vs Derby County Under-21s - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Stoke City Under-21s

All competitions
Premier League 2 - Div 1
Last game
Mar 8, 2025 12.00pm
Stoke U21s 1 - 1 Aston Villa U21s
Goals scored
26
Top scorer
Emre Tezgel

Derby County Under-21s

All competitions
Premier League 2 - Div 1
Last game
Feb 28, 2025 7.00pm
Derby U21s 0 - 1 West Ham U21s
Goals scored
27
Top scorer
Lennon Wheeldon

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County Under-21s win with a probability of 40.32%. A win for Stoke City Under-21s had a probability of 37.2% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.63%) and 0-2 (4.95%). The likeliest Stoke City Under-21s win was 2-1 (7.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.48%). The actual scoreline of 5-3 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.

Result

Stoke City Under-21s 37.2% (+0.13)
Draw 22.48% (+0.12)
Derby County Under-21s 40.32% (-0.25)

Both Teams to Score: 

67.38% (-0.44)

Goals

Over 2.5 66.8% (-0.58)
Under 2.5 33.19% (+0.58)
Over 3.5 45.05% (-0.67)
Under 3.5 54.95% (+0.66)
Over 4.5 26.34% (-0.58)
Under 4.5 73.66% (+0.57)

Stoke City Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5 81.41% (-0.21)
Under 0.5 18.59% (+0.20)
Over 1.5 50.13% (-0.34)
Under 1.5 49.86% (+0.33)

Derby County Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5 82.76% (-0.35)
Under 0.5 17.24% (+0.34)
Over 1.5 52.45% (-0.61)
Under 1.5 47.54% (+0.60)

Score analysis

Stoke City Under-21s 37.2%
Draw 22.48%
Derby County Under-21s 40.32%
Stoke City Under-21s
2-1 @ 7.98% (+0.06)
1-0 @ 5.39% (+0.13)
2-0 @ 4.54% (+0.08)
3-1 @ 4.47% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.93% (-0.05)
3-0 @ 2.54% (+0.03)
4-1 @ 1.88% (-0.02)
4-2 @ 1.65% (-0.03)
4-0 @ 1.07% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.74%
Total : 37.2%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.48% (+0.13)
2-2 @ 7.01% (-0.04)
0-0 @ 3.2% (+0.10)
3-3 @ 2.3% (-0.06)
Other @ 0.48%
Total : 22.48%
Derby County Under-21s
1-2 @ 8.33% (+0.02)
0-1 @ 5.63% (+0.11)
0-2 @ 4.95% (+0.04)
1-3 @ 4.88% (-0.05)
2-3 @ 4.11% (-0.07)
0-3 @ 2.9% (-0.01)
1-4 @ 2.15% (-0.05)
2-4 @ 1.81% (-0.05)
0-4 @ 1.28% (-0.02)
3-4 @ 1.01% (-0.04)
Other @ 3.27%
Total : 40.32%

Head to Head

Premier League 2 - Div 1
Mar 15, 2024 7.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 2
FT Pride Park Stadium
  • Darren Robinson 56' yellowcard
  • Jack Perry 82' yellowcard
  • Cruz Allen 90'+5' goal
  • yellowcard Rakealan Jeffers 9'
  • goal Dara McGuinness 39'
  • goal Nathan Lowe 41'
  • yellowcard William Smith 83'
Premier League 2 - Div 2
Mar 20, 2023 7.00pm
1
6
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Sonny Blu Lo-Everton 59' goal
  • goal Douglas James-Taylor 47'
  • goal Rakealan Jeffers 49'
  • goal Jacob Holland-Wilkinson 52'
  • goal Douglas James-Taylor 70'
  • goal Dara McGuinness 74'
  • goal Jacob Holland-Wilkinson 90'
Premier League 2 - Div 2
Nov 7, 2022 7.00pm
4
0
HT : 2 0
FT The Weaver Stadium
  • Emre Tezgel 4' goal
  • Emre Tezgel 13' goal
  • Nathan Lowe 64' goal
  • Dara McGuinness 87' goal