Premier League 2 - Div 1
Mar 8, 2025 at 12pm UK
Britannia Stadium

Stoke U21s
1 - 1
Aston Villa U21s

Tezgel (82' pen.)
Fawunmi (70'), Curley (78')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Taylor (16')
Taylor (23'), Burrows (25'), Jimoh (77'), Katsukunya (81')
Coverage of the Premier League 2 - Div 1 clash between Stoke City Under-21s and Aston Villa Under-21s.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Newcastle U21s 4-1 Stoke U21s
Friday, February 28 at 7pm in Premier League 2 - Div 1
Last Game: Aston Villa U21s 1-2 Everton U21s
Friday, February 28 at 2.30pm in Premier League 2 - Div 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa Under-21s win with a probability of 61.98%. A win for Stoke City Under-21s had a probability of 19.95% and a draw had a probability of 18.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (7.41%) and 0-2 (6.17%). The likeliest Stoke City Under-21s win was 2-1 (4.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (6.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.

Result
Stoke City Under-21sDrawAston Villa Under-21s
19.95% (-0.338 -0.34)18.07% (0.012999999999998 0.01)61.98% (0.32599999999999 0.33)
Both teams to score 69.79% (-0.67100000000001 -0.67)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
75.63% (-0.589 -0.59)24.37% (0.59 0.59)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
55.91% (-0.781 -0.78)44.09% (0.782 0.78)
Stoke City Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.73% (-0.645 -0.64)24.26% (0.647 0.65)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.37% (-0.925 -0.93)58.63% (0.925 0.92)
Aston Villa Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.16% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)7.84% (0.099 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
72.2% (-0.254 -0.25)27.8% (0.256 0.26)
Score Analysis
    Stoke City Under-21s 19.95%
    Aston Villa Under-21s 61.98%
    Draw 18.07%
Stoke City Under-21sDrawAston Villa Under-21s
2-1 @ 4.86% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.92% (-0.08 -0.08)
1-0 @ 2.69% (0.056 0.06)
3-1 @ 2.29% (-0.051 -0.05)
2-0 @ 1.91% (0.004 0)
4-2 @ 1.03% (-0.049 -0.05)
Other @ 4.25%
Total : 19.95%
1-1 @ 6.86% (0.109 0.11)
2-2 @ 6.18% (-0.05 -0.05)
3-3 @ 2.48% (-0.08 -0.08)
0-0 @ 1.9% (0.074 0.07)
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 18.07%
1-2 @ 8.73% (0.095000000000001 0.1)
1-3 @ 7.41% (0.044 0.04)
0-2 @ 6.17% (0.181 0.18)
2-3 @ 5.25% (-0.069 -0.07)
0-3 @ 5.23% (0.128 0.13)
0-1 @ 4.84% (0.166 0.17)
1-4 @ 4.72% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-4 @ 3.34% (-0.062 -0.06)
0-4 @ 3.33% (0.065 0.07)
1-5 @ 2.4% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-5 @ 1.7% (-0.04 -0.04)
0-5 @ 1.7% (0.025 0.02)
3-4 @ 1.58% (-0.06 -0.06)
1-6 @ 1.02% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 4.57%
Total : 61.98%

Head to Head
Feb 23, 2024 7pm
Aston Villa U21s
2-2
Stoke U21s
Pierre (20'), Borland (71')
Munroe (30'), Borland (84'), Ealing (90+7')
Munroe (90+5')
Clark (52'), Griffiths (73')
Johnson (57'), Curl (70'), Dixon (76'), Sidibe (90+2')
Sep 18, 2022 2pm
Stoke U21s
3-3
Aston Villa U21s
Reddin (49'), McGuinness (71', 75')
Rowe (13', 23'), Firth (46')