Premier League 2 - Div 1

Feb 15, 2025 at 12pm UK

Pride Park Stadium

Derby U21s
1 - 2
Leeds U21s

Stepien-Iwumene (31')
Turley (43')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Gray (65', 84')

Coverage of the Premier League 2 - Div 1 clash between Derby County Under-21s and Leeds United Under-21s.

Form, Standings, Stats

Derby County Under-21s

All competitions

Last Game: Forest U21s 1-1 Derby U21s
Monday, February 10 at 7pm in Premier League 2 - Div 1

Goals
for

Leeds United Under-21s

All competitions

Last Game: Chelsea U21s 1-1 Leeds U21s
Friday, February 7 at 7pm in Premier League 2 - Div 1

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County Under-21s win with a probability of 42.54%. A win for Leeds United Under-21s had a probability of 36.17% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.27%) and 3-2 (4.77%). The likeliest Leeds United Under-21s win was 1-2 (7.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.

Result
Derby County Under-21s	Draw	Leeds United Under-21s
42.54% ( -0.12)	21.29% ( 0.05)	36.17% ( 0.08)

Both teams to score 71.99% (

-0.15)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

72.81% (

-0.19)

27.19% (

0.2)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

52.27% (

-0.24)

47.73% (

0.25)

Derby County Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.07% (

-0.11)

13.93% (

0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.61% (

-0.23)

41.39% (

0.24)

Leeds United Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.64% (

-0.05)

16.36% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.02% (

-0.1)

45.98% (

0.1)

Score Analysis

Derby County Under-21s 42.54%

Leeds United Under-21s 36.17%

Draw 21.29%

Derby County Under-21s	Draw	Leeds United Under-21s
2-1 @ 8.02% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.27% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 4.77% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 4.49% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 4.43% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.91% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.6% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 2.35% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.43% ( -0.01) 4-3 @ 1.42% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 1.02% ( -0.01) 5-2 @ 0.93% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.92% Total : 42.54%	1-1 @ 8.13% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 7.26% ( -0) 3-3 @ 2.88% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 2.28% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.74% Total : 21.29%	1-2 @ 7.36% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 4.44% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 4.38% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 4.13% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 3.73% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 2.25% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 2.01% 2-4 @ 1.98% ( -0.01) 3-4 @ 1.3% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.02% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.57% Total : 36.17%