Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County Under-21s win with a probability of 42.54%. A win for Leeds United Under-21s had a probability of 36.17% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derby County Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.27%) and 3-2 (4.77%). The likeliest Leeds United Under-21s win was 1-2 (7.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.