Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea Under-21s win with a probability of 55.36%. A win for Leeds United Under-21s had a probability of 25.14% and a draw had a probability of 19.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.76%) and 2-0 (5.48%). The likeliest Leeds United Under-21s win was 1-2 (5.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.