Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Everton Under-21s win with a probability of 44.34%. A win for Leeds United Under-21s had a probability of 34.95% and a draw had a probability of 20.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Everton Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 7.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.48%) and 3-2 (5.08%). The likeliest Leeds United Under-21s win was 1-2 (6.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.