Premier League 2 - Div 1
Feb 24, 2025 at 7pm UK
Rentis Training Centre - main pitch

Leicester U21s
2 - 1
Derby U21s

Briggs (54', 75')
Aluko (41'), Cartwright (85')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Robinson (90+1')
Gordon (41'), Eames (81')
Coverage of the Premier League 2 - Div 1 clash between Leicester City Under-21s and Derby County Under-21s.

Form, Standings, Stats

Leicester City Under-21s

All competitions
Last Game: Newcastle U21s 3-6 Leicester U21s
Friday, February 14 at 7pm in Premier League 2 - Div 1

Derby County Under-21s

All competitions
Last Game: Derby U21s 1-2 Leeds U21s
Saturday, February 15 at 12pm in Premier League 2 - Div 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City Under-21s win with a probability of 56.96%. A win for Derby County Under-21s had a probability of 23.25% and a draw had a probability of 19.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.95%) and 2-0 (6.42%). The likeliest Derby County Under-21s win was 1-2 (5.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Leicester City Under-21s in this match.

Result
Leicester City Under-21sDrawDerby County Under-21s
56.96% (0.024000000000001 0.02)19.79% (0.013999999999999 0.01)23.25% (-0.041 -0.04)
Both teams to score 68.14% (-0.10299999999999 -0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
71.58% (-0.11199999999999 -0.11)28.42% (0.11 0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
50.74% (-0.136 -0.14)49.27% (0.135 0.13)
Leicester City Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.84% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)10.17% (0.026999999999999 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.6% (-0.064000000000007 -0.06)33.41% (0.064 0.06)
Derby County Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.86% (-0.092999999999989 -0.09)24.15% (0.091000000000001 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.54% (-0.13200000000001 -0.13)58.46% (0.13 0.13)
Score Analysis
    Leicester City Under-21s 56.96%
    Derby County Under-21s 23.25%
    Draw 19.79%
Leicester City Under-21sDrawDerby County Under-21s
2-1 @ 9.12% (0.013 0.01)
3-1 @ 6.95% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-0 @ 6.42% (0.027 0.03)
1-0 @ 5.61% (0.03 0.03)
3-2 @ 4.94% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.89% (0.014 0.01)
4-1 @ 3.97% (-0.004 -0)
4-2 @ 2.82% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.79% (0.0049999999999999 0)
5-1 @ 1.82% (-0.004 -0)
4-3 @ 1.34% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
5-2 @ 1.29% (-0.006 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.28%
Other @ 3.75%
Total : 56.96%
1-1 @ 7.98% (0.021999999999999 0.02)
2-2 @ 6.48% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-0 @ 2.46% (0.016 0.02)
3-3 @ 2.34% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 0.54%
Total : 19.79%
1-2 @ 5.67%
0-1 @ 3.49% (0.013 0.01)
2-3 @ 3.07% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.68% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-2 @ 2.48% (0.0020000000000002 0)
0-3 @ 1.17% (-0.002 -0)
2-4 @ 1.09% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
1-4 @ 0.95% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 23.25%

Head to Head
Aug 14, 2023 7pm
Leicester U21s
2-1
Derby U21s
Richards (34'), Zachary Booth (45+8')
Cover (27'), Richards (45+7'), Wilson-Brown (63'), Maswanhise (73')
Maswanhise (90+6')
Oseni (82')
B (32'), A Trialist (65'), Bardell (90+6')