Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Ham United Under-21s win with a probability of 54.06%. A win for Derby County Under-21s had a probability of 25.25% and a draw had a probability of 20.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a West Ham United Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (6.61%) and 0-2 (6.47%). The likeliest Derby County Under-21s win was 2-1 (6.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.59%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that West Ham United Under-21s would win this match.