Premier League 2 - Div 1
Apr 11, 2025 at 7pm UK
Pride Park Stadium

Derby U21s
0 - 0
Saints U21s


Robinson (72'), Eames (88'), Moloney (90+3')
FT

Akachukwu (64')
Coverage of the Premier League 2 - Div 1 clash between Derby County Under-21s and Southampton Under-21s.

Form, Standings, Stats

Derby County Under-21s

All competitions
Last Game: Arsenal U21s 2-2 Derby U21s
Monday, April 7 at 7pm in Premier League 2 - Div 1

Southampton Under-21s

All competitions
Last Game: Saints U21s 3-0 Blackburn U21s
Friday, April 4 at 7pm in Premier League 2 - Div 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton Under-21s win with a probability of 43.41%. A win for Derby County Under-21s had a probability of 35.45% and a draw had a probability of 21.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southampton Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.38%) and 2-3 (4.86%). The likeliest Derby County Under-21s win was 2-1 (7.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.

Result
Derby County Under-21sDrawSouthampton Under-21s
35.45% (-0.073 -0.07)21.14% (-0.046000000000003 -0.05)43.41% (0.127 0.13)
Both teams to score 72.39% (0.18100000000001 0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
73.38% (0.23899999999999 0.24)26.62% (-0.233 -0.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
53% (0.302 0.3)47% (-0.295 -0.3)
Derby County Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.59% (0.078000000000003 0.08)16.41% (-0.071000000000002 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.93% (0.137 0.14)46.06% (-0.13 -0.13)
Southampton Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.6% (0.142 0.14)13.4% (-0.134 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.66% (0.27699999999999 0.28)40.34% (-0.27 -0.27)
Score Analysis
    Derby County Under-21s 35.45%
    Southampton Under-21s 43.41%
    Draw 21.14%
Derby County Under-21sDrawSouthampton Under-21s
2-1 @ 7.22% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
3-2 @ 4.37% (0.013 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.35% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
1-0 @ 3.98% (-0.048 -0.05)
2-0 @ 3.59% (-0.035 -0.03)
3-0 @ 2.16% (-0.015 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.98% (0.011 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.97% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-3 @ 1.32% (0.014 0.01)
4-0 @ 0.98% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 3.54%
Total : 35.45%
1-1 @ 7.99% (-0.056 -0.06)
2-2 @ 7.25% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-3 @ 2.93% (0.023 0.02)
0-0 @ 2.2% (-0.032 -0.03)
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 21.14%
1-2 @ 8.03% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-3 @ 5.38% (0.016 0.02)
2-3 @ 4.86% (0.026 0.03)
0-2 @ 4.44% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-1 @ 4.42% (-0.042 -0.04)
0-3 @ 2.98% (0.0020000000000002 0)
1-4 @ 2.7% (0.022 0.02)
2-4 @ 2.44% (0.025 0.02)
0-4 @ 1.5% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
3-4 @ 1.47% (0.019 0.02)
1-5 @ 1.09% (0.014 0.01)
2-5 @ 0.98% (0.015 0.02)
Other @ 3.13%
Total : 43.41%

Head to Head
Dec 15, 2023 11.30am
Saints U21s
2-1
Derby U21s
Amo-Ameyaw (35'), Jeffcott (90+7' og.)
Amo-Ameyaw (86')
Allen (79')
Jeffcott (31'), C (52')
Mar 31, 2023 7pm
Derby U21s
1-3
Saints U21s
Brown (60')
Armitage (9'), Amo-Ameyaw (57'), Doyle (90')
Jan 6, 2023 7pm
Saints U21s
3-0
Derby U21s
Doyle (17'), Morgan (21'), Ballard (90+5')