Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton Under-21s win with a probability of 59.39%. A win for Middlesbrough Under-21s had a probability of 22.38% and a draw had a probability of 18.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southampton Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (7.08%) and 2-3 (5.56%). The likeliest Middlesbrough Under-21s win was 2-1 (5.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 2-2 (6.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.