Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton Under-21s win with a probability of 45.66%. A win for Sunderland Under-21s had a probability of 34.13% and a draw had a probability of 20.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southampton Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 7.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.6%) and 3-2 (5.32%). The likeliest Sunderland Under-21s win was 1-2 (6.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 2-2 (7.24%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood.