Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland Under-21s win with a probability of 43.69%. A win for Wolverhampton Wanderers Under-21s had a probability of 35.11% and a draw had a probability of 21.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.41%) and 3-2 (4.84%). The likeliest Wolverhampton Wanderers Under-21s win was 1-2 (7.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.08%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sunderland Under-21s would win this match.