Premier League 2 - Div 1
Apr 7, 2025 7.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 1
FT Colney Training Centre
  • Salah Oulad M'Hand 31' yellowcard
  • Marli Ellis Salmon 58' yellowcard
  • Michal Rosiak 61' goal
  • Andre Annous 64' goal
  • goal Cruz Allen 39'
  • yellowcard Cruz Allen 59'
  • yellowcard Adisa Osayande 68'
  • yellowcard Darren Robinson 74'
  • goal Justin Oguntolu 88'
  • yellowcard Riley Moloney 90'+4'

Arsenal Under-21s vs Derby County Under-21s - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Arsenal Under-21s

All competitions
Premier League 2 - Div 1
Last game
Mar 31, 2025 7.00pm
Norwich U21s 0 - 3 Arsenal U21s
Goals scored
48
Top scorer
Khayon Edwards

Derby County Under-21s

All competitions
Premier League 2 - Div 1
Last game
Mar 14, 2025 7.00pm
Stoke U21s 5 - 3 Derby U21s
Goals scored
27
Top scorer
Lennon Wheeldon

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Under-21s win with a probability of 68.29%. A draw had a probability of 15.9% and a win for Derby County Under-21s had a probability of 15.79%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.8%) and 2-0 (6.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.78%), while for a Derby County Under-21s win it was 1-2 (3.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.

Result

Arsenal Under-21s 68.29% (-0.02)
Draw 15.92% (+0.01)
Derby County Under-21s 15.79% (+0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

69.89%

Goals

Over 2.5 78.96% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 21.03% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 60.44% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 39.56% (+0.03)
Over 4.5 41% (-0.03)
Under 4.5 59% (+0.03)

Arsenal Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5 94.18% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 5.82% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 77.63% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 22.37% (+0.02)

Derby County Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5 74.2% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 25.79% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 39.25% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 60.74%

Score analysis

Arsenal Under-21s 68.29%
Draw 15.92%
Derby County Under-21s 15.79%
Arsenal Under-21s
2-1 @ 8.23% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 7.8%
2-0 @ 6.07% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 5.76%
4-1 @ 5.55% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 5.28% (-0.01)
1-0 @ 4.27% (+0.01)
4-0 @ 4.09% (-0.01)
4-2 @ 3.76% (-0.01)
5-1 @ 3.15% (-0.01)
5-0 @ 2.33% (-0.01)
5-2 @ 2.14% (-0.01)
4-3 @ 1.7% (-0.01)
6-1 @ 1.5% (-0.01)
6-0 @ 1.1% (-0.01)
6-2 @ 1.01% (-0.01)
Other @ 4.57%
Total : 68.29%
Draw
1-1 @ 5.78% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.57% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 2.39% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 1.5% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 15.92%
Derby County Under-21s
1-2 @ 3.92% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.52% (+0.01)
0-1 @ 2.03% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 1.77% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 1.38% (+0.01)
Other @ 4.18%
Total : 15.79%