Premier League 2 - Div 1
Apr 7, 2025 at 7pm UK
Colney Training Centre

Arsenal U21s
2 - 2
Derby U21s

Rosiak (61'), Annous (64')
Oulad M'Hand (31'), Ellis Salmon (58')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Allen (39'), Oguntolu (88')
Allen (59'), Osayande (68'), Robinson (74'), Moloney (90+4')
Coverage of the Premier League 2 - Div 1 clash between Arsenal Under-21s and Derby County Under-21s.

Form, Standings, Stats

Arsenal Under-21s

All competitions
Last Game: Norwich U21s 0-3 Arsenal U21s
Monday, March 31 at 7pm in Premier League 2 - Div 1

Derby County Under-21s

All competitions
Last Game: Stoke U21s 5-3 Derby U21s
Friday, March 14 at 7pm in Premier League 2 - Div 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Under-21s win with a probability of 68.29%. A draw had a probability of 15.9% and a win for Derby County Under-21s had a probability of 15.79%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.8%) and 2-0 (6.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.78%), while for a Derby County Under-21s win it was 1-2 (3.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.

Result
Arsenal Under-21sDrawDerby County Under-21s
68.29% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)15.92% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)15.79% (0.011000000000001 0.01)
Both teams to score 69.89%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
78.96% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)21.03% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
60.44% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)39.56% (0.021999999999998 0.02)
Arsenal Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
94.18% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)5.82% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
77.63% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)22.37% (0.02 0.02)
Derby County Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.2% (0.0039999999999907 0)25.79% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.25% (0.0030000000000001 0)60.74%
Score Analysis
    Arsenal Under-21s 68.29%
    Derby County Under-21s 15.79%
    Draw 15.92%
Arsenal Under-21sDrawDerby County Under-21s
2-1 @ 8.23% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 7.8%
2-0 @ 6.07% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-0 @ 5.76%
4-1 @ 5.55% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 5.28% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-0 @ 4.27% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 4.09% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
4-2 @ 3.76% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-1 @ 3.15% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
5-0 @ 2.33% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
5-2 @ 2.14% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-3 @ 1.7% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
6-1 @ 1.5% (-0.002 -0)
6-0 @ 1.1% (-0.002 -0)
6-2 @ 1.01% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
5-3 @ 0.97% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 3.6%
Total : 68.29%
1-1 @ 5.78% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-2 @ 5.57% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-3 @ 2.39% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-0 @ 1.5% (0.0019999999999998 0)
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 15.92%
1-2 @ 3.92% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 2.52% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-1 @ 2.03% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 1.77% (0.0010000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 1.38% (0.002 0)
Other @ 4.18%
Total : 15.79%