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Nottingham Forest logo
Championship | Gameweek 36
Mar 13, 2021 at 3pm UK
The City Ground
Reading logo

Nott'm Forest
1 - 1
Reading

Holmes (49' og.)
Figueiredo (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Meite (81')

Preview: Nottingham Forest vs. Reading - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Nottingham Forest and Reading, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Reading will be looking to continue their recent winning run and cement their place in the Championship playoffs when they travel to Nottingham Forest on Saturday.

The Royals are fifth in the table, four points clear of Bournemouth in seventh, while Forest have suffered a dip in form and are 17th.


Match preview

George Puscas celebrates scoring for Reading against Blackburn Rovers in the Championship on March 2, 2021© Reuters

Reading's 3-0 triumph over Sheffield Wednesday last weekend was their third successive win and their joint biggest margin of victory so far this season.

It was only two and a half weeks ago that the Royals suffered a shock defeat to bottom club Wycombe Wanderers and there were questions over whether they would be able to sustain their playoff bid, but Veljko Paunovic's side are now firmly back on track.

After facing Forest, Reading travel to struggling Birmingham City, so will see an opportunity to keep up their winning run.

The Berkshire outfit have only lost two of their last 11 league matches on the road and have kept a clean sheet in five of their most recent seven away trips.

Goalkeeper Rafael Cabral has kept 16 clean sheets in total in the Championship this season – only Swansea City's Freddie Woodman (17) has more.

Reading won 2-0 in this season's reverse fixture in December thanks to goals from Lucas Joao and Michael Morrison, but they have not triumphed at the City Ground in their last six visits.

Nottingham Forest's Alex Mighten celebrates after scoring their first goal on February 20, 2021© Reuters

Forest have won just five of their 17 home league matches this season and only one of the last five; their games at the City Ground have tended to be low-scoring affairs, with only four Championship clubs scoring fewer goals at home but only four conceding fewer too.

That is reflected in their wider form as well as only one of their last seven fixtures has featured more than one goal, which was a 1-1 draw against rivals Derby County.

Defeats to Luton Town and Watford have followed that result, leaving Forest winless in three and with just three goals to their name in seven matches.

It does not get any easier for the Reds either as Saturday's game is the start of a tough run of fixtures, facing Norwich City, Brentford and Cardiff City in the next three weeks – all sides currently in the top eight.

As a result, relegation is not completely off the table for Chris Hughton's side, who are eight points clear of the bottom three, particularly as 22nd-placed Rotherham United have three games in hand over them.

Nottingham Forest Championship form:
  • L
  • W
  • W
  • D
  • L
  • L

Reading Championship form:
  • W
  • L
  • L
  • W
  • W
  • W


Team News

Reading manager Veljko Paunovic pictured in December 2020© Reuters

Harry Arter, Scott McKenna and Lewis Grabban are all back in training for Forest, but the trio are unlikely to be risked in case they re-aggravate their injuries.

There is a battle for the left-back role between Yuri Ribeiro and Gaetan Bong, while the second holding midfield spot next to James Garner is also up for grabs; Ryan Yates seems the most likely candidate but did not appear 100% fit last weekend after returning from injury.

Reading boss Paunovic has suggested that Andy Rinomhota, Yakou Meite and Ovie Ejaria could all play a part this weekend after recovering from their recent injuries.

It will leave Paunovic with a dilemma over which system to use – a diamond midfield worked particularly well against Sheffield Wednesday - but having Meite and Ejaria back available could tempt him to revert to a 4-2-3-1 and therefore drop George Puscas.

Nottingham Forest possible starting lineup:
Samba; Christie, Figueiredo, Worrall, Ribeiro; Garner, Yates; Knockaert, Krovinovic, Lolley; Murray

Reading possible starting lineup:
Rafael; Yiadom, Moore, McIntyre, Richards; Laurent, Semedo; Meite, Olise, Ejaria; Joao


SM words green background

We say: Nottingham Forest 0-1 Reading

Reading seem to have found their form again at just the right time, while Forest have done the opposite and are now going through a tricky patch; for that reason, we think that the Royals will get all three points but in keeping with the Reds' recent matches, it should be a low-scoring affair.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting a double chance bet on a home win or an away win in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Home/Away:data


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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reading win with a probability of 38.33%. A win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 32.86% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Reading win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.81%) and 0-2 (7.35%). The likeliest Nottingham Forest win was 1-0 (11.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood.


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Watford's Adam Masina celebrates scoring against Nottingham Forest in the Championship on March 6, 2021
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