Nations League Gameweek 2
Sep 28, 2026 7.45pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Windsor Park
  • Ethan Galbraith 16' yellowcard
  • Isaac Price 31' yellowcard
  • Jamie Donley 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Michael O'Neill 45'+3' yellowcard
  • Shea Charles 77' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Áron Csongvai 42'
  • yellowcard Willi Orbán 45'+5'

Northern Ireland vs Hungary - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Northern Ireland

All competitions
Nations League
Last game
Sep 25, 2026 5.00pm
Georgia 0 - 1 N. Ireland

Hungary

All competitions
Nations League
Last game
Sep 25, 2026 7.45pm
Hungary 0 - 1 Ukraine

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hungary win with a probability of 40.37%. A win for Northern Ireland had a probability of 32.86% and a draw had a probability of 26.77%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hungary win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.3%) and 0-2 (6.78%). The likeliest Northern Ireland win was 1-0 (8.96%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.

Result

Northern Ireland 32.86% ▲ (+0.11)
Draw 26.77% ▼ (-0.06)
Hungary 40.37% ▼ (-0.06)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.12% ▼ (-0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 72.58% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 1.5 27.42% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 2.5 48.1% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 2.5 51.9% ▼ (-0.07)
Over 3.5 26.45% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 3.5 73.55% ▼ (-0.07)
Over 4.5 14.62% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 4.5 85.38% ▼ (-0.05)

First Half Winner

Northern Ireland 22.74% ▲ (+0.04)
Draw 41.78% ▲ (+0.06)
Hungary 35.48% ▼ (-0.10)

Team To Score First

Northern Ireland 41.87% ▲ (+0.08)
No Goal 7.76% ▼ (-0.03)
Hungary 50.37% ▼ (-0.06)

Corners

Over 8 43.31%
Equal 8 11.23%
Under 8 45.46%
Over 9 33.07%
Equal 9 10.24% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 9 56.69%
Over 10.5 24.42%
Under 10.5 75.58%

Northern Ireland Goals

Over 1.5 32.88% ▲ (+0.10)
Under 1.5 67.12% ▼ (-0.09)
Over 2.5 12.52% ▲ (+0.09)
Under 2.5 87.48% ▼ (-0.09)
Over 3.5 4% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 3.5 96% ▼ (-0.04)

Hungary Goals

Over 0.5 72.03% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 0.5 27.97% ▲ (+0.03)
Over 1.5 38.06% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 1.5 61.94% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 2.5 15.9% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 2.5 84.1% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 3.5 5.36%
Under 3.5 94.64%

Score analysis

Northern Ireland 32.88%
Draw 26.77%
Hungary 40.37%
Northern Ireland
1-0 @ 8.96% ▲ (+0.02)
2-1 @ 7.58%
2-0 @ 5.15% ▲ (+0.02)
3-1 @ 3.13% ▲ (+0.03)
3-0 @ 2.37% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 1.94% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 3.75% ▲ (+0.03)
Total : 32.88%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.54% ▼ (-0.04)
0-0 @ 7.76% ▼ (-0.03)
2-2 @ 5.14%
3-3 @ 1.08%
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 26.77%
Hungary
0-1 @ 10.72% ▼ (-0.01)
1-2 @ 8.3% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 6.78% ▼ (-0.02)
1-3 @ 3.56%
0-3 @ 3.41%
2-3 @ 2.49% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 5.11%
Total : 40.37%

Head to Head

International Friendlies
Mar 29, 2022 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Craig Cathcart 27' yellowcard
  • Steven Davis 58' yellowcard
  • George Saville 84' yellowcard
  • Stuart Dallas 85' yellowcard
  • goal Roland Sallai 56'
  • yellowcard Roland Sallai 56'
  • yellowcard Adam Lang 74'
  • yellowcard Adam Nagy 85'
European Championship
Sep 7, 2015 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Kyle Lafferty 10' yellowcard
  • Conor McLaughlin 72' yellowcard
  • Chris Baird 81' yellowcard
  • Chris Baird 81' redcard
  • Kyle Lafferty 93' goal
  • yellowcard Richard Guzmics 19'
  • yellowcard Leandro De Almeida 41'
  • goal Richard Guzmics 74'
  • yellowcard Tamas Priskin 84'
  • yellowcard Krisztian Nemeth 89'
European Championship
Sep 7, 2014 5.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Vilmos Vanczak 35' yellowcard
  • Tamas Priskin 75' goal
  • yellowcard Oliver Norwood 44'
  • goal Niall McGinn 81'
  • goal Kyle Lafferty 88'