NIFL Premiership Gameweek 5
Sep 5, 2026 3.00pm
Clandeboye Park

Bangor City vs Ballymena United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Bangor City

All competitions
NIFL Premiership
Last game
Aug 29, 2026 3.00pm
Bangor 0 - 4 Carrick

Ballymena United

All competitions
NIFL Premiership
Last game
Aug 29, 2026 6.00pm
Ballymena 0 - 0 Larne
Goals scored
4
Top scorer
Chris McKee

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Ballymena United win with a probability of 64.88%. A draw has a probability of 19.04% and a win for Bangor City has a probability of 16.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ballymena United win is 0-2 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (8.85%) and 1-2 (8.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (8.01%) , while for a Bangor City win it is 2-1 (4.19%).

Result

Bangor City 16.07% (-0.42)
Draw 19.04% (-1.00)
Ballymena United 64.88% (+1.41)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.56% (+0.72)

Goals

Over 1.5 82.46% (+0.37)
Under 1.5 17.54% (-0.38)
Over 2.5 62.41% (+0.33)
Under 2.5 37.59% (-0.33)
Over 3.5 40.92% (+0.54)
Under 3.5 59.08% (-0.54)
Over 4.5 27.88% (+0.21)
Under 4.5 72.12% (-0.21)

First Half Winner

Bangor City 16.84% (+0.24)
Draw 33.54% (-0.58)
Ballymena United 49.62% (+0.34)

Team To Score First

Bangor City 29.19% (-0.33)
No Goal 4.75% (-0.42)
Ballymena United 66.06% (+0.74)

Corners

Over 8 49.2% (-4.63)
Equal 8 11.65% (-0.14)
Under 8 39.15% (+4.77)
Over 9 38.11% (-4.11)
Equal 9 11.09% (-0.52)
Under 9 50.8% (+4.63)
Over 10.5 28.36% (-3.36)
Under 10.5 71.64% (+3.35)

Bangor City Goals

Over 1.5 21.85% (-0.24)
Under 1.5 78.15% (+0.25)
Over 2.5 7.46% (-0.54)
Under 2.5 92.54% (+0.55)
Over 3.5 2.24% (-0.15)
Under 3.5 97.76% (+0.16)

Ballymena United Goals

Over 0.5 86.35% (+0.73)
Under 0.5 13.65% (-0.74)
Over 1.5 63.85% (+0.75)
Under 1.5 36.15% (-0.75)
Over 2.5 38.84% (+0.50)
Under 2.5 61.16% (-0.50)
Over 3.5 19.79% (+0.10)
Under 3.5 80.21% (-0.11)

Score analysis

Bangor City 16.07%
Draw 19.04%
Ballymena United 64.88%
Bangor City
2-1 @ 4.19% (+0.07)
1-0 @ 3.93% (-0.15)
2-0 @ 2.09% (-0.11)
3-2 @ 1.54% (-0.11)
3-1 @ 1.45% (-0.05)
Other @ 1.88% (-0.02)
Total : 16.07%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.01% (-0.23)
0-0 @ 4.75% (-0.42)
2-2 @ 4.68% (-0.07)
3-3 @ 1.24% (-0.17)
Other @ 0.36% (-0.15)
Total : 19.04%
Ballymena United
0-2 @ 9.95% (+0.35)
0-1 @ 8.85% (+0.18)
1-2 @ 8.84% (+0.08)
0-3 @ 7.47% (-0.28)
1-3 @ 6.91% (+0.45)
2-3 @ 3.43% (+0.41)
Other @ 19.43% (+0.24)
Total : 64.88%

Head to Head

NIFL Premiership Gameweek 1
Apr 15, 2026 7.45pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT The Showgrounds
  • Igor Rutkowski 6' yellowcard
  • Kian Corbally 46' yellowcard
  • Aaron Jarvis 46' yellowcard
  • Jack O'Reilly 58' yellowcard
  • Thomas Duffin 85' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Liam Hassin 65'
  • yellowcard Blake Matier 65'
  • yellowcard Ben Cushnie 75'
  • yellowcard Stephen McGuinness 75'
  • yellowcard Robert Garrett 85'
  • yellowcard 85'
NIFL Premiership
Dec 30, 2025 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • 31' yellowcard
  • R. Garrett 31' yellowcard
  • Robert Garrett 31' yellowcard
  • L. Harrison 36' yellowcard
  • Lewis Harrison 36' yellowcard
  • Ben Arthurs 42' goal
  • Lewis Francis 61' goal
NIFL Premiership
Nov 8, 2025 3.00pm
2
3
HT : 0 0
FT
NIFL Premiership
Aug 23, 2025 3.00pm
4
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Club Friendlies 3
Jul 20, 2024 2.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT The Showgrounds
  • 29' goal
  • goal 90'+1'