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Nice
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 15
Nov 27, 2021 at 8pm UK
Stade Municipal du Ray
Metz logo

Nice
0 - 1
Metz


Delort (21'), Stengs (39')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Centonze (31')
N'Doram (4'), Jemerson (16')

Preview: Nice vs. Metz - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Nice and Metz, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Having returned to winning ways in Ligue 1 following the international break, Nice prepare to welcome Metz to the Allianz Riviera on Saturday night.

Christophe Galtier's side sunk newly-promoted Clermont 2-1 in gameweek 14, while the visitors played out a thrilling 3-3 draw with Bordeaux.


Match preview

Amine Gouiri pictured for Nice in August 2021© Reuters

As he has done so often over the past year, Amine Gouiri well and truly saved Nice's bacon against Clermont last time out, with Pascal Gastien's side heading into half time 1-0 up thanks to captain Florent Ogier's header with 17 minutes gone.

It was a day to forget for Clermont shot-stopper Ouparine Djoco on his first-ever Ligue 1 appearance, as the 23-year-old let Gouiri's tame effort slip through his hands in the second half, but there was nothing he could do about the attacker's sublime winner with eight minutes remaining.

Gouiri's seventh and eighth goals of the Ligue 1 season sees him sit second in the Ligue 1 top-scorer charts behind Jonathan David and level with Gaetan Laborde - overtaking Kylian Mbappe in the process - and Nice have risen back up to second following that 1-0 win.

Les Aiglons remain a whopping 11 points behind runaway leaders Paris Saint-Germain, though, and Rennes, Lens and Marseille are all within touching distance and ready to take advantage of any further slip-ups from Galtier's side.

The hosts also head into Saturday's game having failed to keep a clean sheet in their last five on home soil - a statistic that Metz will aim to exploit after their goal-laden showing versus Bordeaux.

Metz manager Frederic Antonetti pictured in April 2021© Reuters

The attackers stole the show in more ways than one for Metz during Sunday's visit of Bordeaux, but Frederic Antonetti's side were on the back foot heading into half time following strikes from Alberth Elis and Remi Oudin at the Stade Saint-Symphorien.

Nicolas De Preville and Opa Nguette drew the hosts level before Oudin restored Bordeaux's lead and Farid Boulaya was sent off, but 10-man Metz refused to wave the white flag, as Nguette headed in his second of the afternoon to rescue a point for his side.

The six-goal thriller with Bordeaux represented Metz's third draw in succession in the top flight - while also extending their winless streak to six matches - and they remain bottom of the table as a result with just nine points to their name this term.

Antonetti's men may have displayed a greater sense of resilience in recent weeks, but they are the only team in the division yet to hit the 10-point mark and have already shipped 30 goals this season - the joint-most in the league alongside Bordeaux.

Metz actually prevailed 2-1 in the most recent meeting with Nice at the Allianz Riviera back in February and held Les Aiglons to a 1-1 draw earlier in the campaign, and interestingly, both teams have scored in six of the last seven meetings between the two clubs.

Nice Ligue 1 form:
  • L
  • W
  • D
  • W
  • L
  • W

Metz Ligue 1 form:
  • L
  • L
  • L
  • D
  • D
  • D



Team News

Nice's Hicham Boudaoui and Justin Kluivert celebrate scoring their first goal with teammates on August 28, 2021© Reuters

Nice defender Dante returns from suspension for the visit of Metz and should demote Flavius Daniliuc down to the bench, while Pablo Rosario will sit out the midweek meeting with Paris Saint-Germain but is available here.

The luckless Youcef Atal is once again on the sidelines with a muscular problem, where he is joined by ankle victims Robson Bambu and Evann Guessand, but there is hope over Hicham Boudaoui's availability.

Justin Kluivert, Alexis Claude-Maurice and Calvin Stengs are all pushing for more opportunities on the right-hand side, where Lucas Da Cunha's spot could come under threat this weekend.

Metz attacker Boulaya has been hit with a three-game ban including a suspended match for kicking out at Yacine Adli in the Bordeaux draw, so two-goal substitute Nguette should certainly start here.

Centre-back Jemerson is back from a ban of his own and could displace Sikou Niakate in the three-man rearguard, with the 22-year-old lasting just 31 minutes of last weekend's stalemate.

Niakate's muscular problems and Habib Maiga's calf injury will keep both men out of this battle, while Matthieu Udol and Manuel Cabit continue their recoveries from long-term injuries.

Nice possible starting lineup:
Benitez; Lotomba, Todibo, Dante, Bard; Stengs, Lemina, Thuram, Gouiri; Delort, Dolberg

Metz possible starting lineup:
Oukidja; Jemerson, Bronn, Kouyate; Centonze, Sarr, N'Doram, Delaine; Nguette, De Preville; Niane


SM words green background

We say: Nice 2-0 Metz

Nice were arguably fortunate to walk away from their encounter with Clermont with all three points in the bag, and Galtier cannot expect his side to blow away Metz with ease.

However, the visitors just cannot keep the back door shut and will have a hard time breaking down this Aiglons defence, so we can only back the hosts to post back-to-back wins in routine fashion.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting a home win in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Home Win:data



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Written by
Ben Knapton

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nice win with a probability of 53.43%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Metz had a probability of 21.94%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nice win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.04%) and 2-1 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.69%), while for a Metz win it was 0-1 (7.13%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.


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Game History

How you voted: Nice vs Metz

Nice
85.2%
Draw
11.5%
Metz
3.3%
61
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3MonacoMonaco1492324121229
4Lille1475224141026
5Lyon147432617925
6Nice146532617923
7Lens146531712523
8Toulouse156361717021
9Auxerre146262121020
10Reims145452018219
11Brest145182026-616
12Rennes144281820-214
13NantesNantes143561620-414
14StrasbourgStrasbourg143562227-514
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16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne1541101234-2213
17Le HavreLe Havre1440101126-1512
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier1422101336-238


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