World Cup Qualifying - Oceania
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Matthew Garbett
11'
-
Chris Wood
23'
-
Chris Wood
24'
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Tyler Bindon
31'
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Tyler Bindon
38'
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Elijah Just
74'
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Sarpeet Singh
82'
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Callum McCowatt
89'
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Jordy Tasip
17'
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Tasso Jeffrey
37'
New Zealand vs Vanuatu - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New Zealand win with a probability of 90.28%. A draw had a probability of 7.3% and a win for Vanuatu had a probability of 2.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a New Zealand win was 3-0 with a probability of 14.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13%) and 4-0 (11.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.45%), while for a Vanuatu win it was 0-1 (1.05%). The actual scoreline of 8-1 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that New Zealand would win this match.
Result
New Zealand
90.28%
▼
(-0.16)
Draw
7.3%
▲
(+0.13)
Vanuatu
2.42%
▲
(+0.04)
Both Teams to Score:
34.07%
▼
(-0.26)
Goals
Over 2.5
71.98%
▼
(-0.53)
Under 2.5
28.01%
▲
(+0.53)
Over 3.5
51.24%
▼
(-0.66)
Under 3.5
48.76%
▲
(+0.66)
Over 4.5
31.88%
▼
(-0.62)
Under 4.5
68.11%
▲
(+0.62)
New Zealand Goals
Over 0.5
96.29%
▼
(-0.11)
Under 0.5
3.71%
▲
(+0.11)
Over 1.5
84.07%
▼
(-0.35)
Under 1.5
15.92%
▲
(+0.35)
Vanuatu Goals
Over 0.5
35.38%
▼
(-0.23)
Under 0.5
64.62%
▲
(+0.23)
Over 1.5
7.16%
▼
(-0.10)
Under 1.5
92.83%
▲
(+0.10)
Score analysis
New Zealand
90.27%
Draw
7.3%
Vanuatu
2.42%
New Zealand
3-0
@
14.28%
▲
(+0.09)
2-0 @ 13% ▲ (+0.19)
4-0 @ 11.76% ▼ (-0.03)
1-0 @ 7.89% ▲ (+0.19)
5-0 @ 7.75% ▼ (-0.09)
3-1 @ 6.24% ▼ (-0.02)
2-1 @ 5.68% ▲ (+0.04)
4-1 @ 5.14% ▼ (-0.06)
6-0 @ 4.26% ▼ (-0.09)
5-1 @ 3.39% ▼ (-0.07)
7-0 @ 2% ▼ (-0.06)
6-1 @ 1.86% ▼ (-0.06)
3-2 @ 1.36% ▼ (-0.02)
4-2 @ 1.12% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 4.55%
Total : 90.27%
2-0 @ 13% ▲ (+0.19)
4-0 @ 11.76% ▼ (-0.03)
1-0 @ 7.89% ▲ (+0.19)
5-0 @ 7.75% ▼ (-0.09)
3-1 @ 6.24% ▼ (-0.02)
2-1 @ 5.68% ▲ (+0.04)
4-1 @ 5.14% ▼ (-0.06)
6-0 @ 4.26% ▼ (-0.09)
5-1 @ 3.39% ▼ (-0.07)
7-0 @ 2% ▼ (-0.06)
6-1 @ 1.86% ▼ (-0.06)
3-2 @ 1.36% ▼ (-0.02)
4-2 @ 1.12% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 4.55%
Total : 90.27%
Draw
1-1
@
3.45%
▲
(+0.06)
0-0 @ 2.4% ▲ (+0.08)
2-2 @ 1.24% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 7.3%
0-0 @ 2.4% ▲ (+0.08)
2-2 @ 1.24% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 7.3%
Vanuatu
0-1
@
1.05%
▲
(+0.03)
Other @ 1.37%
Total : 2.42%
Other @ 1.37%
Total : 2.42%