World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Oceania | Group Stage

Nov 15, 2024 at 6.30am UK

FMG Stadium Waikato

New Zealand
8 - 1
Vanuatu

Garbett (11'), Wood (23', 24'), Bindon (31', 38'), Just (74'), Singh (82'), McCowatt (89')

FT(HT: 5-1)

Tasip (17')
Jeffrey (37')

Coverage of the World Cup Qualifying - Oceania Group Stage clash between New Zealand and Vanuatu.

Form, Standings, Stats

New Zealand

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: New Zealand 4-0 Malaysia
Monday, October 14 at 7am in International Friendlies

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Portugal	3	5	7
2	Mexico	3	2	7
3	Russia	3	0	3
4	New Zealand	3	-7	0

Vanuatu

Last Game: Vanuatu 4-1 Samoa
Saturday, October 12 at 4am in World Cup Qualifying - Oceania

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New Zealand win with a probability of 90.28%. A draw had a probability of 7.3% and a win for Vanuatu had a probability of 2.42%.

The most likely scoreline for a New Zealand win was 3-0 with a probability of 14.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13%) and 4-0 (11.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.45%), while for a Vanuatu win it was 0-1 (1.05%). The actual scoreline of 8-1 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that New Zealand would win this match.

Result
New Zealand	Draw	Vanuatu
90.28% ( -0.16)	7.3% ( 0.12)	2.42% ( 0.03)

Both teams to score 34.07% (

-0.25)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

71.98% (

-0.53)

28.01% (

0.52)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

51.24% (

-0.66)

48.76% (

0.66)

New Zealand Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

96.29% (

-0.11)

3.71% (

0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

84.07% (

-0.34)

15.92% (

0.34)

Vanuatu Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

35.38% (

-0.22)

64.62% (

0.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

7.16% (

-0.1)

92.83% (

0.09)

Score Analysis

New Zealand 90.27%

Vanuatu 2.42%

Draw 7.3%

New Zealand	Draw	Vanuatu
3-0 @ 14.28% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 13% ( 0.19) 4-0 @ 11.76% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 7.89% ( 0.18) 5-0 @ 7.75% ( -0.09) 3-1 @ 6.24% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 5.68% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 5.14% ( -0.05) 6-0 @ 4.26% ( -0.08) 5-1 @ 3.39% ( -0.07) 7-0 @ 2% ( -0.06) 6-1 @ 1.86% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 1.36% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.12% ( -0.02) Other @ 4.55% Total : 90.27%	1-1 @ 3.45% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 2.4% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 1.24% ( -0) Other @ 0.22% Total : 7.3%	0-1 @ 1.05% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.37% Total : 2.42%