Nations League Gameweek 1
Sep 26, 2026 7.45pm
Štadión Tatran

Slovakia vs Moldova - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Slovakia

All competitions

Moldova

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Slovakia win with a probability of 64.94%. A draw has a probability of 21.87% and a win for Moldova has a probability of 13.15%.

The most likely scoreline for a Slovakia win is 1-0 with a probability of 13.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (12.33%) and 2-1 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.04%) , while for a Moldova win it is 0-1 (5.32%).

Result

Slovakia 64.94%
Draw 21.87%
Moldova 13.15%

Both Teams to Score: 

42.48%

Goals

Over 1.5 74.15%
Under 1.5 25.85%
Over 2.5 49.96%
Under 2.5 50.04%
Over 3.5 27.89%
Under 3.5 72.11%
Over 4.5 17.5%
Under 4.5 82.5%

First Half Winner

Slovakia 49.83%
Draw 37.92%
Moldova 12.26%

Team To Score First

Slovakia 69.12%
No Goal 7.46%
Moldova 23.42%

Corners

Over 8 65.86%
Equal 8 10.27%
Under 8 23.87%
Over 9 54.7%
Equal 9 11.16%
Under 9 34.14%
Over 10.5 43.58%
Under 10.5 56.42%

Slovakia Goals

Over 1.5 57.08%
Under 1.5 42.92%
Over 2.5 30.71%
Under 2.5 69.29%
Over 3.5 13.38%
Under 3.5 86.62%

Moldova Goals

Over 0.5 45.48%
Under 0.5 54.52%
Over 1.5 14.33%
Under 1.5 85.67%
Over 2.5 3.43%
Under 2.5 96.57%
Over 3.5 0.77%
Under 3.5 99.23%

Score analysis

Slovakia 64.95%
Draw 21.87%
Moldova 13.15%
Slovakia
1-0 @ 13.04%
2-0 @ 12.33%
2-1 @ 9.69%
3-0 @ 8.48%
3-1 @ 6.1%
3-2 @ 2.13%
Other @ 13.18%
Total : 64.95%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.04%
0-0 @ 7.46%
2-2 @ 3.55%
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 21.87%
Moldova
0-1 @ 5.32%
1-2 @ 3.41%
0-2 @ 1.81%
Other @ 0.57%
Total : 13.15%