Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Slovakia win with a probability of 60.07%. A draw had a probability of 22.01% and a win for Montenegro had a probability of 17.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Slovakia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.5%) and 2-1 (10.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.18%) , while for a Montenegro win it was 0-1 (5.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.