International Friendlies
Jun 9, 2026 4.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Vazgen Sargsyan anvan Hanrapetakan Marzadasht
  • Karlen Hovhannisyan 75' yellowcard
  • 75' yellowcard
  • Artur Serobyan 89' goal
  • yellowcard Iaser Turcan 61'
  • yellowcard Serghei Țurcan 61'
  • yellowcard Victor Bogaciuc 66'
  • yellowcard Victor Ciumasu 77'
  • yellowcard 77'
  • goal Victor Bogaciuc 90'+1'

Armenia vs Moldova - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Armenia

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Jun 6, 2026 3.00pm
Armenia 1 - 1 Kazakhstan

Moldova

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Mar 30, 2026 5.00pm
Cyprus 3 - 2 Moldova

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Armenia win with a probability of 47.55%. A win for Moldova had a probability of 26.83% and a draw had a probability of 25.65%.

The most likely scoreline for a Armenia win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.17%) and 2-0 (8.48%). The likeliest Moldova win was 0-1 (7.83%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.

Result

Armenia 47.55% (-0.36)
Draw 25.65% (-0.68)
Moldova 26.83% (+1.09)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.97% (+0.79)

Goals

Over 1.5 73.71% (+0.96)
Under 1.5 26.29% (-0.97)
Over 2.5 49.4% (+1.09)
Under 2.5 50.6% (-1.09)
Over 3.5 28.48% (+1.27)
Under 3.5 71.52% (-1.27)
Over 4.5 16.14% (+0.90)
Under 4.5 83.86% (-0.90)

First Half Winner

Armenia 37.43% (-0.68)
Draw 42.02% (-0.17)
Moldova 20.55% (+0.86)

Team To Score First

Armenia 56.59% (-0.70)
No Goal 7.57% (-0.49)
Moldova 35.84% (+1.19)

Corners

Over 8 57.4% (-1.18)
Equal 8 11.12% (+0.01)
Under 8 31.48% (+1.18)
Over 9 46.11% (-1.10)
Equal 9 11.28% (-0.11)
Under 9 42.6% (+1.18)
Over 10.5 35.56% (-0.92)
Under 10.5 64.44% (+0.92)

Armenia Goals

Over 1.5 44.88% (+0.24)
Under 1.5 55.12% (-0.24)
Over 2.5 20.08% (+0.41)
Under 2.5 79.92% (-0.41)
Over 3.5 7.55% (+0.25)
Under 3.5 92.45% (-0.24)

Moldova Goals

Over 0.5 61.63% (+0.98)
Under 0.5 38.37% (-0.98)
Over 1.5 28.03% (+1.18)
Under 1.5 71.97% (-1.19)
Over 2.5 9.84% (+0.65)
Under 2.5 90.16% (-0.65)
Over 3.5 2.87% (+0.29)
Under 3.5 97.13% (-0.29)

Score analysis

Armenia 47.55%
Draw 25.66%
Moldova 26.83%
Armenia
1-0 @ 10.93% (-0.46)
2-1 @ 9.17% (-0.24)
2-0 @ 8.48% (-0.17)
3-1 @ 4.71% (+0.13)
3-0 @ 4.02% (-0.11)
3-2 @ 2.83% (+0.17)
Other @ 7.41% (+0.30)
Total : 47.55%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.89% (-0.15)
0-0 @ 7.57% (-0.49)
2-2 @ 5.09% (+0.05)
Other @ 0.14% (-0.06)
Total : 25.66%
Moldova
0-1 @ 7.83% (+0.05)
1-2 @ 6.33% (+0.16)
0-2 @ 3.94% (+0.19)
1-3 @ 2.54% (+0.21)
2-3 @ 2.06% (+0.17)
0-3 @ 1.4% (+0.02)
Other @ 2.73% (+0.34)
Total : 26.83%

Head to Head

International Friendlies
Jun 4, 2018 4.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT