Nations League Gameweek 5
Nov 14, 2026 7.45pm
Arena Naţională

Romania vs Poland - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Romania

All competitions
Nations League
Last game
Sep 25, 2026 7.45pm
Sweden 2 - 1 Romania

Poland

All competitions
Nations League
Last game
Sep 25, 2026 7.45pm
Poland 0 - 0 Bosnia H'vina

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Romania win with a probability of 42.51%. A win for Poland has a probability of 33.13% and a draw has a probability of 24.36%.

The most likely scoreline for a Romania win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (7.27%) and 2-0 (6.18%). The likeliest Poland win is 1-2 (8.08%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.77%).

Result

Romania 42.51% ▲ (+0.01)
Draw 24.36% ▼ (-0.02)
Poland 33.13%

Both Teams to Score: 

59.7%

Goals

Over 1.5 80.88% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 1.5 19.12% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 2.5 59.4%
Under 2.5 40.6%
Over 3.5 36.34%
Under 3.5 63.63%
Over 4.5 22.02%
Under 4.5 77.98%

First Half Winner

Romania 33.78%
Draw 38.45%
Poland 27.76%

Team To Score First

Romania 52.01% ▲ (+0.01)
No Goal 5.09% ▼ (-0.01)
Poland 42.9%

Corners

Over 8 61.73%
Equal 8 10.65%
Under 8 27.63%
Over 9 50.55%
Equal 9 11.18%
Under 9 38.27%
Over 10.5 39.74%
Under 10.5 60.26%

Romania Goals

Over 1.5 46.54% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 1.5 53.46% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 2.5 22.61%
Under 2.5 77.39%
Over 3.5 9.12%
Under 3.5 90.88%

Poland Goals

Over 0.5 68.99% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 0.5 31.01% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 1.5 38.02% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 1.5 61.98% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 2.5 16.04%
Under 2.5 83.96%
Over 3.5 5.62%
Under 3.5 94.38%

Score analysis

Romania 42.51%
Draw 24.37%
Poland 33.14%
Romania
2-1 @ 8.73% ▲ (+0.01)
1-0 @ 7.27%
2-0 @ 6.18% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 4.69%
3-0 @ 3.84%
3-2 @ 3.15%
Other @ 8.65%
Total : 42.51%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.77%
2-2 @ 6.23%
0-0 @ 5.09% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.81%
Other @ 0.47%
Total : 24.37%
Poland
1-2 @ 8.08%
0-1 @ 6.78%
0-2 @ 4.52% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 3.4%
2-3 @ 2.79%
0-3 @ 2.42%
Other @ 5.15%
Total : 33.14%

Head to Head

Nations League Gameweek 3
Oct 2, 2026 7.45pm
6
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stadion Narodowy
  • Robert Lewandowski 24' goal
  • Robert Lewandowski 42' yellowcard
  • Robert Lewandowski 47' goal
  • Virgil Ghiță 49' goal
  • Karol Świderski 57' yellowcard
  • Piotr Zielinski 62' goal
  • Jan Bednarek 66' goal
  • Robert Lewandowski 86' goal
  • redcard Radu Drăgușin 22'
  • yellowcard Virgil Ghiță 35'
  • yellowcard Tudor Băluță 39'
  • yellowcard Andrei Borza 73'
World Cup Qualifying - Europe
Jun 10, 2017 7.45pm
3
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Robert Lewandowski 29' goal
  • Robert Lewandowski 57' goal
  • Robert Lewandowski 62' goal
  • goal Bogdan Stancu 77'
World Cup Qualifying - Europe
Nov 11, 2016 7.45pm
0
3
HT : 0 1
FT
  • goal Kamil Grosicki 11'
  • goal Robert Lewandowski 83'
  • goal Robert Lewandowski 91'