Nations League Gameweek 4
Oct 5, 2026 7.45pm
Stadion Bilino Polje

Bosnia-Herzegovina vs Poland - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Bosnia-Herzegovina

All competitions
Nations League
Last game
Sep 25, 2026 7.45pm
Poland 0 - 0 Bosnia H'vina

Poland

All competitions
Nations League
Last game
Sep 25, 2026 7.45pm
Poland 0 - 0 Bosnia H'vina

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Bosnia-Herzegovina win with a probability of 43.98%. A win for Poland has a probability of 30.81% and a draw has a probability of 25.21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bosnia-Herzegovina win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8.96%) and 2-0 (6.96%). The likeliest Poland win is 1-2 (7.59%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.42%).

Result

Bosnia-Herzegovina 43.98% ▼ (-2.18)
Draw 25.21% ▲ (+1.07)
Poland 30.81% ▲ (+1.12)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.14% ▼ (-1.33)

Goals

Over 1.5 77.16% ▼ (-0.55)
Under 1.5 22.84% ▲ (+0.54)
Over 2.5 54.16% ▼ (-0.90)
Under 2.5 45.84% ▲ (+0.90)
Over 3.5 31% ▼ (-1.19)
Under 3.5 69% ▲ (+1.19)
Over 4.5 17.84% ▼ (-1.06)
Under 4.5 82.16% ▲ (+1.07)

First Half Winner

Bosnia-Herzegovina 32.49% ▼ (-3.72)
Draw 39.54% ▲ (+1.65)
Poland 27.97% ▲ (+2.08)

Team To Score First

Bosnia-Herzegovina 56.62% ▲ (+3.42)
No Goal 6.56% ▲ (+0.44)
Poland 36.82% ▼ (-3.86)

Corners

Over 8 54.25% ▲ (+1.36)
Equal 8 11.92% ▼ (-0.18)
Under 8 33.84% ▼ (-1.16)
Over 9 42.44% ▲ (+1.42)
Equal 9 11.81% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 9 45.75% ▼ (-1.36)
Over 10.5 31.7% ▲ (+1.35)
Under 10.5 68.31% ▼ (-1.35)

Bosnia-Herzegovina Goals

Over 1.5 44.5% ▼ (-1.71)
Under 1.5 55.5% ▲ (+1.71)
Over 2.5 20.22% ▼ (-1.74)
Under 2.5 79.78% ▲ (+1.74)
Over 3.5 7.62% ▼ (-0.71)
Under 3.5 92.38% ▲ (+0.71)

Poland Goals

Over 0.5 66.24% ▲ (+0.82)
Under 0.5 33.76% ▼ (-0.83)
Over 1.5 33.53% ▲ (+1.07)
Under 1.5 66.47% ▼ (-1.07)
Over 2.5 12.84% ▲ (+0.18)
Under 2.5 87.16% ▼ (-0.19)
Over 3.5 4.22% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 3.5 95.78% ▲ (+0.02)

Score analysis

Bosnia-Herzegovina 43.99%
Draw 25.21%
Poland 30.81%
Bosnia-Herzegovina
2-1 @ 9.41% ▼ (-0.27)
1-0 @ 8.96% ▼ (-0.06)
2-0 @ 6.96% ▼ (-0.05)
3-1 @ 4.55% ▼ (-0.37)
3-0 @ 3.98% ▼ (-0.39)
3-2 @ 2.82% ▼ (-0.31)
Other @ 7.31% ▼ (-0.75)
Total : 43.99%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.42% ▲ (+0.20)
0-0 @ 6.56% ▲ (+0.44)
2-2 @ 5.67% ▲ (+0.38)
3-3 @ 1.25% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 0.31% ▲ (+0.03)
Total : 25.21%
Poland
1-2 @ 7.59% ▲ (+0.63)
0-1 @ 7.33% ▲ (+0.20)
0-2 @ 4.61% ▲ (+0.19)
1-3 @ 2.94% ▼ (-0.13)
2-3 @ 2.24% ▼ (-0.02)
0-3 @ 2.19% ▲ (+0.33)
Other @ 3.91% ▼ (-0.05)
Total : 30.81%

Head to Head

Nations League Gameweek 1
Sep 25, 2026 7.45pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stadion Narodowy
  • Jakub Kiwior 19' yellowcard
  • Jan Bednarek 82' yellowcard
  • Matty Cash 86' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Kerim Alajbegovic 32'
  • yellowcard Zinedin Smajlović 38'
  • yellowcard Ivan Šunjić 47'
  • yellowcard Sergej Barbarez 57'
  • yellowcard Sead Kolasinac 81'
  • yellowcard Amar Memić 89'
Nations League
Oct 14, 2020 7.45pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT Stadion Miejski
  • Mateusz Klich 20' yellowcard
  • Jan Bednarek 36' yellowcard
  • Robert Lewandowski 40' goal
  • Karol Linetty 45'+1' goal
  • Robert Lewandowski 52' goal
  • redcard Anel Ahmedhodzic 15'
  • yellowcard Miralem Pjanic 15'
  • yellowcard Sead Kolasinac 44'
  • yellowcard Haris Hajradinovic 83'
Nations League
Sep 7, 2020 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT Stadion Bilino Polje
  • Haris Hajradinovic 24' goal
  • Amir Hadziahmetovic 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jan Bednarek 24'
  • goal Kamil Glik 45'
  • goal Kamil Grosicki 67'
  • yellowcard Arkadiusz Milik 82'