Republic of Ireland vs Bulgaria - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Republic of Ireland win with a probability of 40.7%. A win for Bulgaria had a probability of 30.65% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Republic of Ireland win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.08%) and 2-0 (7.94%). The likeliest Bulgaria win was 0-1 (10.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Republic of Ireland in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Republic of Ireland.