Nations League Gameweek 5
Nov 13, 2026 7.45pm
Johan Cruijff Arena

Netherlands vs Greece - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Netherlands

All competitions
Nations League
Last game
Sep 24, 2026 7.45pm
Netherlands 1 - 1 Germany

Greece

All competitions
Nations League
Last game
Sep 24, 2026 7.45pm
Serbia 1 - 2 Greece

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Netherlands win with a probability of 49.57%. A win for Greece has a probability of 26.23% and a draw has a probability of 24.18%.

The most likely scoreline for a Netherlands win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.45%) and 2-0 (8.16%). The likeliest Greece win is 0-1 (6.53%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.64%).

Result

Netherlands 49.57%
Draw 24.18%
Greece 26.23% ▲ (+0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.01%

Goals

Over 1.5 77.44%
Under 1.5 22.56%
Over 2.5 53.6%
Under 2.5 46.4% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 3.5 31.28%
Under 3.5 68.72%
Over 4.5 18.3% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 4.5 81.7% ▲ (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Netherlands 38.51%
Draw 39.66%
Greece 21.83%

Team To Score First

Netherlands 56.73%
No Goal 5.98%
Greece 37.29%

Corners

Over 8 53.71%
Equal 8 11.78%
Under 8 34.51%
Over 9 42.09%
Equal 9 11.62%
Under 9 46.29%
Over 10.5 31.56%
Under 10.5 68.44%

Netherlands Goals

Over 1.5 48.26% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 1.5 51.74% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 2.5 23.11% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 2.5 76.89% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 3.5 8.99% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 3.5 91.01% ▲ (+0.02)

Greece Goals

Over 0.5 62.27% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 0.5 37.73% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 1.5 29.48% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 1.5 70.52% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 2.5 10.31%
Under 2.5 89.69%
Over 3.5 3.01%
Under 3.5 96.99%

Score analysis

Netherlands 49.56%
Draw 24.18%
Greece 26.23%
Netherlands
1-0 @ 10.02%
2-1 @ 9.45%
2-0 @ 8.16%
3-1 @ 5.17%
3-0 @ 4.68%
3-2 @ 3.22%
Other @ 8.86% ▼ (-0.01)
Total : 49.56%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.64%
0-0 @ 5.98%
2-2 @ 5.38%
3-3 @ 1.05%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 24.18%
Greece
0-1 @ 6.53%
1-2 @ 6.53%
0-2 @ 4.04% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.43%
2-3 @ 2.16%
0-3 @ 1.66%
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 26.23%

Head to Head

Nations League Gameweek 3
Oct 1, 2026 7.45pm
2
2
HT : 2 0
FT Stadio Toumbas
  • Fotis Ioannidis 23' goal
  • Georgios Masouras 45'+2' goal
  • Konstantinos Tzolakis 67' yellowcard
  • Manolis Saliakas 76' yellowcard
  • goal Virgil van Dijk  59'
  • yellowcard Noa Lang 76'
  • goal Tijjani Reijnders 89'
Euro Champ Qualifying
Oct 16, 2023 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT OPAP Arena
  • Dimitrios Kourbelis 14' yellowcard
  • Petros Mantalos 29' yellowcard
  • Panagiotis Retsos 76' yellowcard
  • Vangelis Pavlidis 86' yellowcard
  • Gus Poyet 90'+4' redcard
  • yellowcard Lutsharel Geertruida 13'
  • yellowcard Xavi Simons 51'
  • goal Virgil van Dijk 90'+3'
Euro Champ Qualifying
Sep 7, 2023 7.45pm
3
0
HT : 3 0
FT Philips Stadion
  • Marten de Roon 17' goal
  • Cody Gakpo 31' goal
  • Wout Weghorst 39' goal
  • Nathan Ake 43' yellowcard
  • Virgil van Dijk 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Emmanouil Siopis 11'
  • yellowcard Kostas Tsimikas 44'
  • yellowcard Dimitrios Kourbelis 68'
  • yellowcard Petros Mantalos 75'
International Friendlies
May 28, 2020 6.30pm
International Friendlies
Sep 1, 2016 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Georginio Wijnaldum 14' goal
  • Steven Berghuis 75' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Konstantinos Manolas 10'
  • goal Konstantinos Mitroglou 29'
  • goal Giannis Gianniotas 74'